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Technical Sessions – Monday July 11

Technical Sessions – Monday July 11

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� HC-08<br />

Thursday, 13:30-15:00<br />

Meeting Room 107<br />

Multi-criteria Dynamic Models<br />

Stream: Dynamic Programming<br />

Invited session<br />

Chair: Lidija Zadnik Stirn, Biotechnical Faculty, University of<br />

Ljubljana, Vecna pot 83, 1000, Ljubljana, Slovenia,<br />

lidija.zadnik@bf.uni-lj.si<br />

1 - A Multi-criteria, Group and Dynamic Model for Classifying<br />

Industrial Buildings with respect to Their Long Term<br />

Impact on Environment<br />

Lidija Zadnik Stirn, Biotechnical Faculty, University of<br />

Ljubljana, Vecna pot 83, 1000, Ljubljana, Slovenia,<br />

lidija.zadnik@bf.uni-lj.si<br />

Group decision methods are efficiently used for modeling and solving many<br />

multi-criteria and multi-period processes. We evaluate several group methods<br />

within the frame of AHP, using satisfactory index, fitting performance index<br />

and three new measures. Then, we generate a hierarchical dynamic model<br />

based on group AHP methods for weighting multiple criteria with interval comparison<br />

matrices. Finally, the model is applied to the problem of selecting the<br />

most appropriate industrial building construction in respect to the long term<br />

impact on environment and opinions of experts and NGOs.<br />

2 - Some Issues in the Strategic University Management<br />

Nurul Nazihah Hawari, Universiti Utara Malaysia, Malaysia,<br />

nnazihah@uum.edu.my, Razman Mat Tahar<br />

Universiti Utara Malaysia (UUM) has been described as the first Malaysian<br />

university with a broad Management scope. Today, in the quest to be among<br />

notable universities in the nation and world, UUM is striving hard to be a<br />

comprehensive research university that blends the main elements of national<br />

agenda, education missions and sustainable research tradition. One of the core<br />

strategies is to develop a culture of excellence in scholarly activities. This paper<br />

describes how system thinking can help in developing a shared vision within<br />

the University for achieving the ambition.<br />

3 - Dynamic Programming Model of Sharing Profits for Single<br />

Period Split order Supply Chain<br />

Arshinder Kaur, Department of Management Studies, Indian<br />

Institute of Technology Madras, 600036, Chennai, Tamilnadu,<br />

India, arshinder@gmail.com, Kalpana P<br />

This paper primarily deals splitting of single period order into two orderings<br />

and proposes a profit sharing mechanism which fairly shares the profit gain<br />

among the supply chain members. The objective of this is to develop a complete<br />

mathematical with the help of dynamic programming approach, which<br />

incorporates the profit sharing factor in the model itself, that maximizes the<br />

expected profit of the supply chain. The time at which the second ordering has<br />

to be done is also considered as a decision variable in this model. The performance<br />

indicators like expected profit of the supply chain members and the<br />

number of units to be ordered in the second period are evaluated in this paper.<br />

4 - A Novel Scheduling Maintenance Management Method<br />

for Wind Farms<br />

Fausto Pedro Garcia Marquez, Administración de Empresas,<br />

Universidad de Castilla-La Mancha, ETSII, Edificio Politecnico,<br />

C/ Camilo Jose Cela, s/n, 13071, Ciudad Real, Spain,<br />

FaustoPedro.Garcia@uclm.es, Diego Ruiz-Hernandez<br />

The high cost of the machinery and infrastructure of a windturbines, combined<br />

with the difficulty of access by human resources to them, requires to use a complex<br />

maintenance systems to achieve a high availability, reliability, maintainability<br />

and safety. We analyse the maintenance scheduling problem for wind<br />

farms. The problem is modelled as a multi-armed restless bandit problem. In<br />

this work we deploy Whittle index heuristics to a collection of case studies in<br />

order to minimize the operation and maintenance costs, as well as to reduce the<br />

chances (and likely huge costs) of a breakdown.<br />

IFORS 20<strong>11</strong> - Melbourne HC-09<br />

� HC-09<br />

Thursday, 13:30-15:00<br />

Meeting Room 108<br />

Rescue and Response in Disasters<br />

Stream: Emergency Evacuation and Response<br />

Invited session<br />

Chair: Elise Miller-Hooks, University of Maryland, Civil and<br />

Environmental Engineering Dept., Parkville, 20742, College Park,<br />

MD, United States, elisemh@umd.edu<br />

1 - Resource Location and Relocation Models with Rolling<br />

Horizon Forecasting for Wildland Fire Planning<br />

Joseph Chow, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of<br />

California, Irvine, 4000 Anteater Instruction and Research Bldg<br />

(AIRB), 92697, Irvine, CA, United States,<br />

joseph.chow@gmail.com, Amelia C. Regan<br />

Relocation models are proposed for air tanker initial attack basing in California<br />

for wildland fires that require multiple, co-located air tankers. An index<br />

from NFDRS is modeled as a discrete mean-reverting process and estimated<br />

from 2001-2006 data from each of 12 CDF units being studied. The standard<br />

p-median formulation is changed into a k-server p-median problem to assign<br />

multiple servers to a node, and extended into a chance-constrained dynamic relocation<br />

problem. Results identify a threshold for preferring regional relocation<br />

with rolling horizon forecasting from fire weather data.<br />

2 - Small Airport Scheduling in Natural Disaster Rescue<br />

and Relief Situations - The Static Model<br />

Guoqing Wang, Department of Business Administration, Jinan<br />

University, Guangzhou, China, tgqwang@jnu.edu.cn<br />

In this paper we introduce the operation situations of small size airports arising<br />

in massive natural disaster rescue and relief processes like those in Haiti and<br />

Yushu earthquakes. We model the airport transportation operation system as a<br />

2 stage flexible reentrant flowshop with no intermediate buffer in process. The<br />

first stage consists of a single machine, i.e., the runway, and the second stage<br />

includes several identical parallel machines i.e., apron stands. Each incoming<br />

flight has three operations, landing, unloading, and takeoff, and all operations<br />

have to be processed in that order. The objective is to schedule a given set of incoming<br />

flights in order to minimize the makespan. We analyze the complexity<br />

of the problem, and propose a heuristic to deal with it.<br />

3 - Simulation Based Busy Probability Estimation for Deterministic<br />

Emergency Service Location Models<br />

Tonguc Ünlüyurt, Manufacturing Systems/Industrial<br />

Engineering, Sabanci University, Orhanlý Tuzla, 34956,<br />

Ýstanbul, Turkey, tonguc@sabanciuniv.edu, Yasir Tunçer<br />

Many deterministic models have been proposed for locating emergency services<br />

in the literature. Most of these models are set covering models with different<br />

objective functions and possibly with some side constraints. One major<br />

drawback of such models is that some of the locations may not be covered<br />

when all the service providers at a certain service point are busy. In this study,<br />

we aim to estimate these busy probabilities by simulating various scenarios for<br />

well known deterministic models proposed in the literature.<br />

4 - Optimal Team Deployment in Urban Search and Rescue<br />

Elise Miller-Hooks, University of Maryland, Civil and<br />

Environmental Engineering Dept., Parkville, 20742, College<br />

Park, MD, United States, elisemh@umd.edu, Lichun Chen<br />

The problem of optimally deploying urban search and rescue teams to disaster<br />

sites in post-disaster circumstances is formulated as a multistage stochastic<br />

program. A portion of sites requiring assistance arrive dynamically over the<br />

decision horizon and demand levels at the sites and on-site service times are<br />

known only with uncertainty a priori. Decisions are taken dynamically over the<br />

decision horizon as situational awareness improves. An exact solution technique<br />

is proposed for its solution.<br />

91

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