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Technical Sessions – Monday July 11

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2 - Impact of Different Discharge Patterns on Bed Occupation<br />

Rate and Bed Waiting Time: A Simulation Approach<br />

Zhecheng Zhu, Health Services & Outcomes Research, National<br />

Healthcare Group, Singapore, Zhecheng_ZHU@nhg.com.sg<br />

Beds are one of the most important resources in healthcare system. In recent<br />

years, population growth and aging society impose extra pressure on bed requirement,<br />

which makes bed management more challenging. There are usually<br />

two key performance indicators of the bed management system: bed occupation<br />

rate and bed waiting time. In this paper, different discharge patterns and<br />

their impacts are studied. Simulation results show that a proper discharge pattern<br />

significantly smooth the fluctuation of bed occupation rate and reduce the<br />

bed waiting time.<br />

3 - Application of Risk-aware Value Focused Process Engineering<br />

for Risk Identification in Acute Stroke Thrombolysis<br />

Clinical Pathway<br />

Kristian Rotaru, Accounting and Finance, Monash University,<br />

Australia, 900 Dandenong Rd, 3145, Caulfield East, Victoria,<br />

Australia, kristian.rotaru@monash.edu, Leonid Churilov, Helen<br />

Dewey<br />

The objective of this paper is to demonstrate how Risk-aware Value Focused<br />

Process Engineering methodology can be effectively applied for operational<br />

risk identification in acute stroke thrombolysis clinical pathway. The novelty<br />

and original contribution of this research is in enabling hierarchical decomposition<br />

of process risks according to decision makers’ values and the representation<br />

of such risks as a result of the systemic interrelationship between the<br />

clinical process elements.<br />

� HC-17<br />

Thursday, 13:30-15:00<br />

Meeting Room 214<br />

OR in Finance 4<br />

Stream: Finance<br />

Invited session<br />

Chair: Rita Decclesia, Economic and Social Analysis, Sapienza<br />

University of Rome, Piazza Aldo Morto 5, 00185, Rome, Italy,<br />

rita.decclesia@uniroma1.it<br />

Chair: Michael Leyer, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management,<br />

Germany, m.leyer@fs.de<br />

1 - The Binomial Option Pricing Models with Different Parameters<br />

Yunjiao Hu, Department of Mathematics and Informatics,<br />

Beijing University of Chemical Technology, 100029, Beijing,<br />

China, huyj@mail.buct.edu.cn<br />

This papers use the probability theory to derive a new type of binomial model<br />

with different parameters (NCRR), and it gives another proof of the convergence<br />

of the existed generalized binomial model (GCRR). At last, it applies the<br />

CRR, NCRR and GCRR to the pricing of European options and Asia options.<br />

2 - The Impact of Learning Maths on Studying Accounting<br />

and Finance Course at University Level<br />

Xin Shi, Business School, Manchester Metropolitan University,<br />

Aytoun Building, Aytoun Street, Manchester, United Kingdom,<br />

x.shi@mmu.ac.uk<br />

This paper aims to investigate the impacts of learning maths on studying accounting<br />

and finance courses at University level. Probabilistic decision-making<br />

model which is recently developed will be applied to measure the impacts over<br />

the course. The logistic regression model uses to estimate students’ perspectives<br />

on the aspects of studying accounting and finance course. Then the Monte<br />

Carlo simulation approach will be applied to predict the pattern of learning<br />

maths during the course.<br />

3 - Analyzing the „Black Box" of Business Processes in Financial<br />

Services: The Case of Loan Application Processing<br />

Michael Leyer, Frankfurt School of Finance & Management,<br />

Germany, m.leyer@fs.de, Anne Dohmen<br />

IFORS 20<strong>11</strong> - Melbourne HC-18<br />

This paper presents a methodology which combines Data Envelopment Analysis<br />

with Business Process Simulation. DEA is used to measure the efficiency<br />

of a business process on an input-output basis while BPS is used to simulate<br />

process changes leading to reductions in inefficiency. The methodology is applied<br />

to a case study, a loan application process of a German bank. The results<br />

show that it allows to analyze changes in process throughput, the "blackbox’,<br />

and their impact on business process efficiency. However, limitations of this<br />

approach for application in real cases are also revealed.<br />

� HC-18<br />

Thursday, 13:30-15:00<br />

Meeting Room 215<br />

Applications of DEA in Banking and<br />

Financial Institutions<br />

Stream: Data Envelopment Analysis<br />

Invited session<br />

Chair: Sunity Shrestha, Management, Tribhuvan University, Central<br />

Department of Management, Kathmandu, Bagmati Zone, Nepal,<br />

sunity.shresthahada7@gmail.com<br />

1 - The Efficiency of Islamic Microfinancing Schemes: A<br />

DEA Approach<br />

Husniyati Ali, Islamic Banking and Finance, Faculty of Business<br />

Management, Universiti Teknologi MARA, Shah Alam, 40450,<br />

Shah Alam, Selangor, Malaysia, hamro64@yahoo.com<br />

The main agenda of any of the microfinance institutions in Malaysia is to provide<br />

financial services to the entrepreneurs as inspires by the New Economic<br />

Model (NEM), which perceives that the Islamic micro financing could become<br />

an effective tools and mechanisms of inclusiveness of citizen to the fair and<br />

equal economic opportunities. The main aim of this paper is to produce analysis<br />

of efficiency of the Islamic microfinancing schemes, as issued by the Credit<br />

Guarantee Corporation(CGC), using DEA.<br />

2 - Case Study: Technological Progress, Inefficiency and<br />

Productivity Growth in the Rural Credit Cooperatives of<br />

Sichuan Province, China, 2001-2007<br />

Nan Zhu, EMBA Education Centre, Southwestern University of<br />

Finance and Economics, 55 Guanghuacun, 610074, Chengdu,<br />

Sichuan, China, zhunan@swufe.edu.cn, Qiang Huang, Yi Liu,<br />

Xinwei Chen, Xingchen Zhu<br />

This paper applies the data envelopment analysis and Malmquist index method<br />

to measure the productive efficiency and Malmquist index of the Rural Credit<br />

Cooperatives of Sichuan Province, China?over the period between 2001 and<br />

2007. The results and conclusion are provided.<br />

3 - Hedge Fund Performance Appraisal: A Panel of Nonparametric<br />

Approaches using Directional Measures<br />

Nicolas Nalpas, Economics & Finance, Toulouse Business<br />

School, 20 bld Lascrosses, 31000, Toulouse, France,<br />

n.nalpas@esc-toulouse.fr, Léopold Simar, Anne Vanhems<br />

Unlike standard approaches, production frontiers’ methods do not require either<br />

the specification of a benchmark or a statistical structure (e.g. normality)<br />

on returns. Nevertheless, such methods are sensitive to signs of inputs/outputs<br />

combinations. Using recent results proposed by Simar and Vanhems (2010), we<br />

propose to assess Hedge Funds performance through various directional techniques<br />

applied to DEA and FDH that preserve unit invariance and that allow to<br />

handle the negative inputs/outputs found in the data.<br />

4 - Relative Efficiency of Commercial Banks in Nepal<br />

Sunity Shrestha, Management, Tribhuvan University, Central<br />

Department of Management, Kathmandu, Bagmati Zone, Nepal,<br />

sunity.shresthahada7@gmail.com<br />

Commercial banks are the backbone of any country which reflects the financial<br />

strength and sustainability of the nation. This study focuses on examining<br />

the relative efficiency of commercial banks in Nepal by employing Data Envelopment<br />

Analysis (DEA). Based on the twenty seven commercial banks, the<br />

efficiency through the asset approach is found to be volatile while it was found<br />

to be fluctuating through the Operations approach. This study has explored<br />

the possibility of using the tool like DEA in performance analysis in Nepalese<br />

banking sector where simply financial ratios are considered so far. The forecasting<br />

of banking performance over the period, taking quarterly data, reflects<br />

the efficiency of the banks selected under study.<br />

95

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