| Special Reports 專 題 報 導 |PS: Europe has been sliding into recession since2008-09, and this is not expected to stop until2014-15. <strong>The</strong>refore, the debt crisis still has a wayto go. In the U.S., they have basically been in recessionsince 2006, but the country is expected to bottomout in 2012. As the possibility <strong>of</strong> a further declineis low, companies should keep a close eye on developmentsin the U.S. market.B: Other than the U.S., which countries or regions couldexpect to see robust growth in the Year <strong>of</strong> the Dragon?PS: Before 2004, Eastern countries or regions close to the sea,lakes or rivers, underwent rapid development. However,since then, Western countries or regions near waterhave thrived. In Malaysia, for example, despiteits economy lagging behind other countries forHorse (1942, 1954, 1966, 1978, 1990, 2002)Confident and proud but prone to erratic behaviour.Heart is in right place. Can be flighty and emotional.自 信 、 傲 慢 、 難 以 捉 摸 。 心 性 善 良 。 反 覆 無 常 、 情 緒 化 。Year <strong>of</strong> the Dragon will be an ordinary year for most<strong>The</strong> horses. You will be feeling a bit lazy, but will want to makea lot <strong>of</strong> money with little effort. In your career, there are fewopportunities for promotion, so if one does materialise, youshould grasp it or you will regret letting the opportunity slipby. As the year seems boring, you may feel impatient and havea hard time controlling your emotions. Horses who drive willalso find they have a low tolerance behind the wheel, so curbyour tantrums or you might end up in an accident.大 部 分 肖 馬 人 士 來 說 , 今 年 為 平 穩 的 普 通 年 。 屬 馬 者 會 感 到 慵對 懶 , 希 望 少 勞 多 得 。 事 業 方 面 , 上 班 一 族 或 有 晉 升 機 會 , 不 妨 努力 爭 取 , 否 則 你 將 後 悔 錯 失 時 機 。 由 於 今 年 平 庸 乏 味 , 你 會 容 易 失 去耐 性 , 難 以 控 制 個 人 情 緒 。 駕 駛 者 亦 會 變 得 較 急 躁 、 忍 耐 力 不 夠 , 容易 釀 成 交 通 意 外 , 故 應 好 好 控 制 情 緒 。Goat (1943, 1955, 1967, 1979, 1991, 2003)Sensitive, creative and multi-talented. Eccentric. Hasmuch fortitude. Loves to be loved, hates to be pushed.敏 感 、 具 創 意 、 多 才 多 藝 。 怪 異 反 常 。 堅 毅 不 屈 。 喜 歡 被愛 , 抗 拒 壓 迫 。Goats don’t have any signs <strong>of</strong> conflict in 2012, union orrelationship stars, so can expect a quiet year, but alsobetter social status. This will also help in your career, andthere are signs you may get a promotion. Self-employed goatsshould look to promote their businesses at this time, and youmay get help from a female figure. Your unlucky star is QiuYu, or jail, so make sure you stay the right side <strong>of</strong> the law!羊 者 今 年 無 沖 、 無 合 、 無 桃 花 , 雖 是 平 穩 的 普 通 年 , 但 亦 是 權 力肖 地 位 提 升 年 , 有 利 事 業 , 或 會 有 升 遷 機 會 。 自 僱 人 士 應 趁 機 推 廣業 務 , 而 你 今 年 亦 會 有 女 貴 人 之 助 。 凶 星 有 「 囚 獄 」, 字 面 意 思 是 坐牢 , 但 只 要 做 事 光 明 正 大 , 就 可 避 免 惹 上 官 非 !36 January 2012 <strong>The</strong> Bulletin 工 商 月 刊
years, its recent economic boom has attracted a lot <strong>of</strong> foreigninvestment.Political uncertainties in regions like the Middle East andNorth Africa, as well as the debt crisis dogging Europe, havecaused capital to flee to safer regions. As a result, Malaysia hasbecome a key recipient <strong>of</strong> investment. In addition, with propertyprices in Malaysia being only one-fifth <strong>of</strong> those in <strong>Hong</strong><strong>Kong</strong>, the country’s growth potential is huge. As the fortune<strong>of</strong> the land is on its side, the Malaysian economy is expected tocontinue its upward trend.B: What is your forecast for <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>’s economy?PS: 2004 to 2009 was an active period for <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>’s economy,while 2010-15 is a period <strong>of</strong> downward movement. As2012 is a year <strong>of</strong> “Virtual Fire,” the economy will bounce backslightly before continuing its downward slide. <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>’seconomy is expected to be back on an upward trajectory from2016 which will last into 2021.B: Many enterprises are concerned about the economic outlookin the Mainland. How will its economy fare in the comingyear?PS: In China, the land’s fortune is shifting west to regions with“water.” Competition is less keen in the west, so naturally companiesinvesting in those regions are more likely to succeed.For example, property prices in Lanzhou, the capital <strong>of</strong> GansuProvince, northwestern China, have doubled within a year.Chengdu, the capital <strong>of</strong> Sichuan Province, mid-west China,is also recording strong growth with its property prices surgingdue to its economy taking <strong>of</strong>f. On the other hand, the landfortune is lacking is cities such as Beijing and Shanghai. Sincecompetition is intense in those cities, enterprises operatingthere will have to face tough challenges.B: Which sectors are expected to do well?PS: In 2011, “water”-related industries – including the maritime,trade and banking industries – had a tough time, butthey are expected to turn the corner by the end <strong>of</strong> the year.<strong>The</strong>re will be a greater chance for them to succeed in 2012, soinvestors should watch out for maritime and banking-relatedstocks in the year ahead.B: If readers’ businesses are not doing well, what can they do toboost their luck and counteract bad luck?PS: <strong>The</strong> Wealth Spot is located in the west, northwest andnortheast in the Year <strong>of</strong> the Dragon. Putting a glass <strong>of</strong> water ateach <strong>of</strong> the three positions can bring you luck in wealth.B: Is the Year <strong>of</strong> the Dragon a good time to start a business?PS: <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>’s economy will witness a decline between 2013until 2016, so it is wise for business people to maintain theirexisting company, rather than starting something new. Companiesselling inexpensive products will do quite well in the Year <strong>of</strong>the Dragon, but sales <strong>of</strong> luxury goods are expected to be poor.B: What strategies should businesses adopt in the coming year?PS: Although the economy is on a downturn, <strong>Hong</strong> <strong>Kong</strong>’seconomy will perform reasonably well 2012. However, 2013-15 will be the real period <strong>of</strong> concern. Competition in the businessworld is expected to be intense, so in order to avoid gettingknocked out, companies should keep an eye on their cashflow because only the fittest will survive.Monkey (1944, 1956, 1968, 1980, 1992, 2004)Wily and cunning. Ignores regimented rules. Free spirit.Loves movement and change. Can be rather selfish.詭 計 多 端 、 狡 猾 奸 詐 。 抗 拒 規 範 。 追 求 自 由 。 好 動 、 愛 變化 。 為 人 較 自 私 。Monkeys are said to be in “distant” union with the presidinggod, meaning you can expect help from powerful figuresfrom afar. Monkeys have been enjoying good luck since 2010,and can expect this to continue as you have the best luck inwealth <strong>of</strong> all the other zodiacs this year. Monkeys born in 1968will be prone to gossip, possibly from rival colleagues who havetheir eye on a promotion you are in line for. Other people maybe jealous <strong>of</strong> you, and stab you in the back. <strong>The</strong> best you can dois ignore them and get on with life.Rooster (1945, 1957, 1969, 1981, 1993, 2005)Brave and enthusiastic. Notoriously picky. Highlyintelligent. Rarely has wool pulled over its eyes.勇 敢 、 熱 情 。 吹 毛 求 疵 。 聰 穎 精 明 。 甚 少 受 騙 。Roosters will experience the least change among all zodiacsigns in 2012, but you may get some help in advancingyour career. Relationships may come and go, but you are luckyin wealth so you should work hard to capitalise on this period.Roosters need to watch out for cuts and injuries in Lunar February,as there is a chance you might be involved in an accident.Unlike many other zodiac signs, the gossip-mongershave put away their knives so you should have a peaceful Year<strong>of</strong> the Dragon.是 今 年 各 生 肖 之 中 最 為 穩 定 的 生 肖 , 或 會 得 貴 人 之 助 而 令 事 業 運猴 今 年 為 遙 合 年 , 易 有 遠 方 貴 人 扶 助 。 屬 猴 人 士 自 2010 年 起 行 雞 有 所 提 升 。 感 情 方 面 易 生 變 化 , 惟 財 運 不 俗 , 宜 加 倍 努 力 , 把 握肖 運 , 預 料 運 勢 將 持 續 下 去 , 財 運 比 別 的 生 肖 為 佳 。1968 年 出 生 的 時 機 。 肖 雞 者 在 農 曆 2 月 要 小 心 損 傷 , 或 會 遇 上 意 外 。 是 非 小 人 已 遠 離猴 會 有 升 遷 機 會 , 故 是 非 也 較 多 , 或 許 是 在 爭 取 升 職 時 , 少 不 免 與 同 事 你 , 故 龍 年 是 平 和 的 一 年 。有 一 番 明 爭 暗 鬥 。 你 可 做 的 是 以 平 常 心 來 面 對 , 並 做 好 本 份 。<strong>The</strong> Bulletin 工 商 月 刊 January 2012 37