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Landslides in the Sydney Basin - Geoscience Australia

Landslides in the Sydney Basin - Geoscience Australia

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Seismic Hazard <strong>in</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong>Proceed<strong>in</strong>gs of <strong>the</strong> one day workshoplandslide (Tumbledown) is around 1,000 – 2,500 years, which is consistent with <strong>the</strong> return period ofan earthquake of magnitude 6 - 6.5 (see Appendix 1 for details). The estimated return period of a 30M m 3 landslide (Carne) is around 20 – 50 kyr, which is consistent with <strong>the</strong> return period of anearthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater. Therefore, it is possible that higher magnitude earthquakesmay expla<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> occurrence of <strong>the</strong> larger, older landslides and <strong>the</strong> absence of earthquake <strong>in</strong>ducedlandslides s<strong>in</strong>ce European settlement where maximum recorded earthquake magnitude was 5.5(Burragorang) and 5.6 (Robertson).Figure 4: Detail of <strong>the</strong> south-west cluster of seismic events (Latitude -34.1 to -34.25; Longitude150.25 to 150.45) show<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> location of <strong>the</strong> Burragorang earthquake epicentre. (Source:<strong>Geoscience</strong> <strong>Australia</strong> Earthquake Database http://www.ga.gov.au/oracle/quake/quake_onl<strong>in</strong>e.jsp)Table 1: Tim<strong>in</strong>g, depth and magnitude of earthquakes with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> south-west cluster (Latitude -34.1to -34.25; Longitude 150.25 to 150.45) Source: <strong>Geoscience</strong> <strong>Australia</strong> Earthquake Databasehttp://www.ga.gov.au/oracle/quake/quake_onl<strong>in</strong>e.jsp)DATE OF EARTHQUAKE DEPTH (KM) MAGNITUDE NOTES02/09/1960 10 1.723/06/1962 0 1.910/07/1962 8 3.209/03/1973 21 5.5 Burragorang / Picton earthquake09/03/1973 to 23/07/1973 Max 38 Max 3.9 Aftershocks16/11/1974 0 1.206/03/1975 0 1.518/08/1976 16 2.426/01/1978 17 2.315/01/1979 24 2.819/04/1979 20 216/03/1982 23 2.231/12/1982 19 215/02/1986 24 1.702/04/1987 22 2.706/06/1996 20 2.526/06/2001 10 1.9CONCLUSIONSLandslid<strong>in</strong>g may be an important process <strong>in</strong> valley widen<strong>in</strong>g and hillslope denudation of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>cisedvalleys <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Blue Mounta<strong>in</strong>s Plateau, though <strong>the</strong> conditions or triggers of failure have not beendeterm<strong>in</strong>ed. Earthquakes have been found to trigger landslides <strong>in</strong> Europe and elsewhere, and<strong>the</strong>refore warrant consideration. Analysis of seismic records for <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> Bas<strong>in</strong> revealed a105

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