Seismic Hazard <strong>in</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong>Proceed<strong>in</strong>gs of <strong>the</strong> one day workshopof tens to hundreds of metres. Areas with soft surface sediments and steep topography have a muchhigher earthquake hazard than experienced on a horizontal surface with hard rock outcropp<strong>in</strong>g.Attenuation for earthquake waves travell<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> Palaeozoic bedrock beneath <strong>the</strong> Mesozoicsediments of <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> Bas<strong>in</strong> is typical of attenuation <strong>in</strong> eastern <strong>Australia</strong>. However, <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong>Bas<strong>in</strong> sediments show higher than average attenuation, and this makes determ<strong>in</strong>ation of localattenuation functions quite difficult, especially with limited data.Seismographs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> RegionThe first seismograph to be <strong>in</strong>stalled <strong>in</strong> New South Wales was a Milne <strong>in</strong>strument <strong>in</strong>stalled at <strong>the</strong><strong>Sydney</strong> Observatory from 1906 to 1948. The Riverview Observatory <strong>in</strong>stalled its first seismograph<strong>in</strong> 1909, and seismic monitor<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>struments are still be<strong>in</strong>g operated at this site. Most of <strong>the</strong> earlyseismographs were long-period <strong>in</strong>struments designed to record distant earthquakes, but with limitedcapacity for record<strong>in</strong>g high frequency motion from local earthquakes.One of <strong>the</strong> first seismograph networks <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> world designed specifically to record local earthquakeswas <strong>in</strong>stalled at five sites for <strong>the</strong> Metropolitan Water, Sewerage and Dra<strong>in</strong>age Board of <strong>Sydney</strong> from1958. The network was operated by <strong>the</strong> <strong>Australia</strong>n National University <strong>in</strong> Canberra. In 1970 <strong>the</strong>network was reduced to four sites, and <strong>in</strong> 1983 radio telemetry was added to give central record<strong>in</strong>g,although with limited dynamic range through use of a pen recorder, and very limited seismicfrequency bandwidth.Follow<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> Newcastle earthquake <strong>in</strong> December 1989, <strong>Sydney</strong> Water upgraded <strong>the</strong> network. Itadopted an <strong>in</strong>tegrated monitor<strong>in</strong>g network design, <strong>in</strong>corporat<strong>in</strong>g both sensitive seismometers andstrong motion accelerometers, fully based on digital data acquisition, with advantages as follows:• common <strong>in</strong>strumentation, reduc<strong>in</strong>g operation and ma<strong>in</strong>tenance costs.• strong motion reference sites, and even sites on structures, could act as normal seismographsites that would not exceed full scale for large nearby events.• comb<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g strong motion bedrock sites with seismographs will eventually allowdeterm<strong>in</strong>ation of a s<strong>in</strong>gle consistent attenuation function for all levels of motion, and willsignificantly expedite collection of data for spectral attenuation functions. Attenuation functions<strong>in</strong>herently must use measurements from a wide range of earthquake magnitudes and distances.• strong motion sites will be ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed regularly with seismograph ma<strong>in</strong>tenance, so<strong>in</strong>struments are much more likely to be work<strong>in</strong>g correctly for a large nearby earthquake.In addition, high dynamic range <strong>in</strong>struments were used so that seismographs could measure largerearthquakes without go<strong>in</strong>g full scale, and strong motion accelerographs could trigger on smallerevents. Six-channel <strong>in</strong>struments would give an overlap <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> levels of motion recorded, <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>greliability and allow<strong>in</strong>g system calibration checks.The expanded network orig<strong>in</strong>ally had <strong>in</strong>struments at 25 sites when fully <strong>in</strong>stalled by late 1993,operated by <strong>the</strong> Seismology Research Centre <strong>in</strong> Melbourne, and later reduced to 23 sites dur<strong>in</strong>g1998. About half of <strong>the</strong>se are six-channel <strong>in</strong>struments with a triaxial seismometer and a triaxialaccelerometer. There have been no moderate or large earthquakes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> area s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong>network was <strong>in</strong>stalled. S<strong>in</strong>ce 1992, one moderate magnitude distant earthquake has been recorded(at Ellalong).Accelerographs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> RegionAn SMA1 accelerograph was mounted <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> nuclear reactor basement at Lucas Heights <strong>in</strong> about1984. This was replaced by two digital accelerographs dur<strong>in</strong>g 1989, one on <strong>the</strong> reactor structure and<strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r on bedrock nearby. They are <strong>in</strong>tended to study <strong>the</strong> dynamic properties of <strong>the</strong> reactorstructure and are <strong>in</strong> a noisy environment, so rarely trigger on small local earthquakes.The comb<strong>in</strong>ed seismograph and accelerograph network <strong>in</strong>stalled by <strong>Sydney</strong> Water <strong>in</strong> 1992,described above, has significantly improved strong motion monitor<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> area. In47
Seismic Hazard <strong>in</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong>Proceed<strong>in</strong>gs of <strong>the</strong> one day workshopaddition, two strong motion accelerographs were <strong>in</strong>stalled <strong>in</strong> each of <strong>Sydney</strong>, Newcastle andWollongong, as part of <strong>the</strong> Jo<strong>in</strong>t Urban Monitor<strong>in</strong>g Project (JUMP), <strong>the</strong>se <strong>in</strong>struments be<strong>in</strong>goperated by <strong>Geoscience</strong> <strong>Australia</strong>.EARTHQUAKES IN THE SYDNEY REGIONSeveral catalogues of earthquakes <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> area have been produced. The <strong>Australia</strong>n NationalUniversity produced pr<strong>in</strong>ted monthly Bullet<strong>in</strong>s from before 1967 to mid1993. The Bureau ofM<strong>in</strong>eral Resources located and published locations on microfiche for many years, and after be<strong>in</strong>grenamed as <strong>the</strong> <strong>Australia</strong>n Geological Survey Organisation published pr<strong>in</strong>ted monthly bullet<strong>in</strong>s from1995 to mid-2000. This was replaced by an onl<strong>in</strong>e access system for recent earthquakes.After AGSO was renamed <strong>Geoscience</strong> <strong>Australia</strong>, <strong>the</strong> preferred solutions of <strong>the</strong> entire earthquakecatalogue was placed onl<strong>in</strong>e. This <strong>in</strong>cludes earthquake locations from o<strong>the</strong>r authorities when <strong>the</strong><strong>Geoscience</strong> <strong>Australia</strong> seismologists consider those to be <strong>the</strong> preferred location.The Seismology Research Centre <strong>in</strong> Melbourne has been operat<strong>in</strong>g seismographs for <strong>Sydney</strong> Waterand o<strong>the</strong>r authorities <strong>in</strong> New South Wales s<strong>in</strong>ce 1988, and produces three-monthly earthquake liststhat <strong>in</strong>clude events <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> region.Local observatories often update <strong>the</strong>ir analyses for periods of months to a year after any event, asmore data is ga<strong>the</strong>red from remote <strong>in</strong>struments, and data are shared between observatories.Internationally, prelim<strong>in</strong>ary epicentre determ<strong>in</strong>ations (PED) are published by <strong>the</strong> NationalEarthquake Information Centre (NEIC) of <strong>the</strong> US Geological Survey (USGS) with a delay of a fewweeks after each event. The International Seismological Centre (ISC) <strong>the</strong>n computes revisedlocations of all known events, us<strong>in</strong>g all available data, with a delay of about two years, publish<strong>in</strong>gresults on CD and onl<strong>in</strong>e.S<strong>in</strong>ce 2000, <strong>the</strong> author has been ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g a consolidated earthquake catalogue of all <strong>Australia</strong>nearthquake locations, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>termediate locations as data are accumulated, and locations fromall authorities, both local and <strong>in</strong>ternational. The preferred solution for each event is re-consideredwhenever new locations are added. Figures 1-5 have been produced us<strong>in</strong>g this catalogue.The most significant known events <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> area were:1788 June 22, <strong>Sydney</strong>: The first recorded earthquake <strong>in</strong> <strong>Australia</strong> occurred on a Sunday afternoon,1788 June 22, five months after <strong>the</strong> First Fleet landed. It was felt and heard by most people,apparently from <strong>the</strong> southwest, with a sound like a distant cannon, and visibly shak<strong>in</strong>g trees. Hunter(1991) gives a number of references.1872 October 18, Jenolan Caves, ML 5.5: An earthquake on Friday, 1872 October 18 at 0650 pmwas felt from Jervis Bay <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> south to Stroud <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> north, and to Orange <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> west. At Bathurstchairs were knocked over, candles shaken from tables and dishes smashed. The widespreaddistribution of low and moderate <strong>in</strong>tensities suggests that <strong>the</strong> epicentre must have been <strong>in</strong> anunpopulated area, perhaps about <strong>the</strong> Jenolan Caves or north of Lithgow, or was deep beneath <strong>the</strong>surface.1919 August 15, Kurrajong, ML 4.6: An earthquake occurred near Kurrajong on Friday 1919August 15 at 0821 pm <strong>Sydney</strong> Standard Time. It was dist<strong>in</strong>ctly felt throughout <strong>Sydney</strong> and suburbs,though not noticed by all persons. It was described <strong>in</strong> detail by Cotton, 1921, and Drake, 1973, gave48