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Landslides in the Sydney Basin - Geoscience Australia

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Seismic Hazard <strong>in</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong>Proceed<strong>in</strong>gs of <strong>the</strong> one day workshopNeotectonics and landscape evolution ofsou<strong>the</strong>astern <strong>Australia</strong>: establish<strong>in</strong>g a geologiccontext for contemporary seismicityMARK C. QUIGLEY 1 , MIKE SANDIFORD 1 , DAN CLARK 21 SCHOOL OF EARTH SCIENCES, THE UNIVERSITY OF MELBOURNE2 GEOSPATIAL AND EARTH MONITORING DIVISION, GEOSCIENCE AUSTRALIAABSTRACTSou<strong>the</strong>astern <strong>Australia</strong> conta<strong>in</strong>s a rich geologic record of Plio-Quaternary reverse fault<strong>in</strong>g andassociated landscape evolution that can be used to provide geologic constra<strong>in</strong>ts on historicalseismicity. The Mt Lofty-Fl<strong>in</strong>ders Ranges-eastern Gawler Craton region and Eastern Highlands arecharacterized by high fault density, “youthful” geomorphology, and high seismic activity relative tomost of <strong>Australia</strong>, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>terven<strong>in</strong>g Murray Bas<strong>in</strong>. Inferred ~east-west directed maximumcompressive paleostress orientations derived from Plio-Quaternary faults are generally consistentwith ~east-west to ~sou<strong>the</strong>ast-northwest maximum compressive stress orientations derived fromhistorical earthquake focal mechanisms, provid<strong>in</strong>g a l<strong>in</strong>k between <strong>the</strong> neotectonic record, seismicity,and <strong>in</strong> situ stress. Plio-Quaternary fault slip rates along range-bound<strong>in</strong>g reverse faults range from 20to 150 m per million years (m Myr -1 ). Coupled with slow bedrock erosion rates at range summits,this suggests a m<strong>in</strong>imum of 100 m of surface uplift has occurred over considerable areas ofsou<strong>the</strong>astern <strong>Australia</strong> s<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong> Miocene. Estimates of recurrence <strong>in</strong>terval of large magnitude,surface ruptur<strong>in</strong>g earthquakes along <strong>in</strong>dividual faults range from ~ 22 000 to ≥ 83 000 years. S<strong>in</strong>gleeventfault displacements may have reached up to 8 m <strong>in</strong> total fault offset. The data acquired fromneotectonic <strong>in</strong>vestigations bear heavily on <strong>the</strong> modes, mechanisms, and seismic risk associated with<strong>the</strong> active regional deformation of sou<strong>the</strong>astern <strong>Australia</strong>, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> <strong>Sydney</strong> Bas<strong>in</strong>.INTRODUCTIONAlthough records of historical earthquakes provide cursory <strong>in</strong>formation on active crustaldeformation and seismic risk, recurrence <strong>in</strong>tervals of large earthquakes <strong>in</strong> many <strong>in</strong>tracont<strong>in</strong>entalregions commonly surpass <strong>the</strong> life span of <strong>the</strong>se records by orders of magnitude, def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> needfor fault studies over geologic time-scales. The neotectonic record of prehistoric fault<strong>in</strong>g provides animportant source of <strong>in</strong>formation on <strong>the</strong> long-term behaviour of <strong>in</strong>tracont<strong>in</strong>ental faults, especiallywhere it can be l<strong>in</strong>ked to contemporary seismicity. <strong>Australia</strong> is particularly well-suited to study <strong>the</strong>sestructures as much of <strong>the</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ent is relatively arid and has rema<strong>in</strong>ed immune from Quaternaryglaciations, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> high preservation levels of faults and associated landforms.In sou<strong>the</strong>astern <strong>Australia</strong>, distribution patterns of contemporary seismicity closely overlap withtopographically high regions conta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creased concentrations of neotectonic faults and rugged“youthful” geomorphology, imply<strong>in</strong>g a casual l<strong>in</strong>k between active deformation and landscapeevolution (Fig. 1). Considerable progress has been made towards a better understand<strong>in</strong>g of <strong>the</strong>dynamics, rates, and landscape manifestations of this modern tectonic regime through recentneotectonic, geomorphic, and geodynamic studies. In this paper, we briefly summarize this progressand provide a regional geologic context for sou<strong>the</strong>astern <strong>Australia</strong>n earthquakes.ACTIVE DEFORMATION OF SOUTHEASTERN AUSTRALIASeismicity and <strong>in</strong> situ stressSou<strong>the</strong>astern <strong>Australia</strong> is one of <strong>the</strong> most seismically active parts of <strong>the</strong> cont<strong>in</strong>ent, with distributionsof historical (~1850 A.D. to present) earthquakes up to Richter Magnitude ~6.4 extend<strong>in</strong>g from <strong>the</strong>eastern Gawler Craton to <strong>the</strong> Eastern Highlands (Fig. 1). Approximately 7000 earthquakes were1

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