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Introduction to the Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems

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Chapter 6Continuous-Time Models I: <strong>Modeling</strong>6.1 Continuous-Time Models with Differential EquationsContinuous-time models are written in differential equations. They are probably moremainstream in science <strong>and</strong> engineering, <strong>and</strong> studied more extensively, than discrete-timemodels, because various natural phenomena (e.g., motion <strong>of</strong> objects, flow <strong>of</strong> electric current)take place smoothly over continuous time.A general ma<strong>the</strong>matical formulation <strong>of</strong> a first-order continuous-time model is given bythis:dxdt= F (x, t) (6.1)Just like in discrete-time models, x is <strong>the</strong> state <strong>of</strong> a system (which may be a scalar orvec<strong>to</strong>r variable). The left h<strong>and</strong> side is <strong>the</strong> time derivative <strong>of</strong> x, which is formally defined asdxdt = limδt→0x(t + δt) − x(t). (6.2)δtIntegrating a continuous-time model over t gives a trajec<strong>to</strong>ry <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> system’s state overtime. While integration could be done algebraically in some cases, computational simulation(= numerical integration) is always possible in general <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong>ten used as <strong>the</strong> primarymeans <strong>of</strong> studying <strong>the</strong>se models.One fundamental assumption made in continuous-time models is that <strong>the</strong> trajec<strong>to</strong>ries<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> system’s state are smooth everywhere in <strong>the</strong> phase space, i.e., <strong>the</strong> limit in <strong>the</strong>definition above always converges <strong>to</strong> a well-defined value. Therefore, continuous-timemodels don’t show instantaneous abrupt changes, which could happen in discrete-timemodels.99

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