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Introduction to the Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems

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Chapter 8Bifurcations8.1 What Are Bifurcations?One <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> important questions you can answer by ma<strong>the</strong>matically analyzing a dynamicalsystem is how <strong>the</strong> system’s long-term behavior depends on its parameters. Most <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>time, you can assume that a slight change in parameter values causes only a slight quantitativechange in <strong>the</strong> system’s behavior <strong>to</strong>o, with <strong>the</strong> essential structure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> system’sphase space unchanged. However, sometimes you may witness that a slight change inparameter values causes a drastic, qualitative change in <strong>the</strong> system’s behavior, with <strong>the</strong>structure <strong>of</strong> its phase space <strong>to</strong>pologically altered. This is called a bifurcation, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>parameter values at which a bifurcation occurs are called <strong>the</strong> critical thresholds.Bifurcation is a qualitative, <strong>to</strong>pological change <strong>of</strong> a system’s phase space that occurswhen some parameters are slightly varied across <strong>the</strong>ir critical thresholds.Bifurcations play important roles in many real-world systems as a switching mechanism.Examples include excitation <strong>of</strong> neurons, pattern formation in morphogenesis (this willbe discussed later), catastrophic transition <strong>of</strong> ecosystem states, <strong>and</strong> binary informations<strong>to</strong>rage in computer memory, <strong>to</strong> name a few.There are two categories <strong>of</strong> bifurcations. One is called a local bifurcation, which can becharacterized by a change in <strong>the</strong> stability <strong>of</strong> equilibrium points. It is called local because itcan be detected <strong>and</strong> analyzed only by using localized information around <strong>the</strong> equilibriumpoint. The o<strong>the</strong>r category is called a global bifurcation, which occurs when non-localfeatures <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> phase space, such as limit cycles (<strong>to</strong> be discussed later), collide wi<strong>the</strong>quilibrium points in a phase space. This type <strong>of</strong> bifurcation can’t be characterized just byusing localized information around <strong>the</strong> equilibrium point. In this textbook, we focus only on131

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