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Introduction to the Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems

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4.6. BUILDING YOUR OWN MODEL EQUATIONS WITH MULTIPLE VARIABLES 591414121210108866442200 20 40 60 80 10000.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8Figure 4.8: Simulation results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> preda<strong>to</strong>r-prey model. Left: State variables plottedover time. Blue (solid) = prey, green (dashed) = preda<strong>to</strong>rs. Right: Phase spacevisualization <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> same result.Exercise 4.13 Try several different parameter settings for r, b, d, <strong>and</strong> c, <strong>and</strong> seehow <strong>the</strong> system’s behavior changes. In some cases you may find an unrealistic,invalid behavior (e.g., indefinite growth <strong>of</strong> preda<strong>to</strong>rs). If so, revise <strong>the</strong> model <strong>to</strong> fix<strong>the</strong> problem.In this chapter, we reviewed some basics <strong>of</strong> ma<strong>the</strong>matical modeling in difference equations.As I keep saying, <strong>the</strong> best way <strong>to</strong> learn modeling is through practice. Here are somemore modeling exercises. I hope you enjoy <strong>the</strong>m!Exercise 4.14 Develop a discrete-time ma<strong>the</strong>matical model <strong>of</strong> two species competingfor <strong>the</strong> same resource, <strong>and</strong> simulate its behavior.Exercise 4.15 Consider <strong>the</strong> dynamics <strong>of</strong> public opinions about political ideologies.For simplicity, let’s assume that <strong>the</strong>re are only three options: conservative,liberal, <strong>and</strong> neutral. Conservative <strong>and</strong> liberal are equally attractive (or annoying,maybe) <strong>to</strong> people, with no fundamental asymmetry between <strong>the</strong>m. The popularities<strong>of</strong> conservative <strong>and</strong> liberal ideologies can be represented by two variables, p c

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