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Introduction to the Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems

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8.4. BIFURCATIONS IN DISCRETE-TIME MODELS 151tained equilibrium points but numerically sampled sets <strong>of</strong> asymp<strong>to</strong>tic states, i.e., where<strong>the</strong> system is likely <strong>to</strong> be after a sufficiently long period <strong>of</strong> time. If <strong>the</strong> system is converging<strong>to</strong> a stable equilibrium point, you see one curve in this diagram <strong>to</strong>o. Unstable equilibriumpoints never show up because <strong>the</strong>y are never realized in numerical simulations. Once<strong>the</strong> system undergoes period-doubling bifurcations, <strong>the</strong> states in a periodic trajec<strong>to</strong>ry areall sampled during <strong>the</strong> sampling period, so <strong>the</strong>y all appear in this diagram. The perioddoublingbifurcations are visually seen as <strong>the</strong> branching points <strong>of</strong> those curves.But what are those noisy, crowded, r<strong>and</strong>om-looking parts at r > 1.7? That is chaos,<strong>the</strong> hallmark <strong>of</strong> nonlinear dynamics. We will discuss what is going on <strong>the</strong>re in <strong>the</strong> nextchapter.Figure 8.10: Visual output <strong>of</strong> Code 8.4, showing <strong>the</strong> numerically constructed bifurcationdiagram <strong>of</strong> Eq. (8.37).

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