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Introduction to the Modeling and Analysis of Complex Systems

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Chapter 4Discrete-Time Models I: <strong>Modeling</strong>4.1 Discrete-Time Models with Difference EquationsDiscrete-time models are easy <strong>to</strong> underst<strong>and</strong>, develop <strong>and</strong> simulate. They are easily implementablefor stepwise computer simulations, <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>y are <strong>of</strong>ten suitable for modelingexperimental data that are almost always already discrete. Moreover, <strong>the</strong>y can representabrupt changes in <strong>the</strong> system’s states, <strong>and</strong> possibly chaotic dynamics, using fewervariables than <strong>the</strong>ir continuous-time counterparts (this will be discussed more in Chapter9).The discrete-time models <strong>of</strong> dynamical systems are <strong>of</strong>ten called difference equations,because you can rewrite any first-order discrete-time dynamical system with a state variablex (Eq. (3.1)), i.e.,x t = F (x t−1 , t) (4.1)in<strong>to</strong> a “difference” form∆x = x t − x t−1 = F (x t−1 , t) − x t−1 , (4.2)which is ma<strong>the</strong>matically more similar <strong>to</strong> differential equations. But in this book, we mostlystick <strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> original form that directly specifies <strong>the</strong> next value <strong>of</strong> x, which is more straightforward<strong>and</strong> easier <strong>to</strong> underst<strong>and</strong>.Note that Eq. (4.1) can also be written asx t+1 = F (x t , t), (4.3)which is ma<strong>the</strong>matically equivalent <strong>to</strong> Eq. (4.1) <strong>and</strong> perhaps more commonly used in <strong>the</strong>literature. But we will use <strong>the</strong> notation with x t , x t−1 , x t−2 , etc., in this textbook, because35

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