Online Papers - Brian Weatherson

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From Classical to Intuitionistic Probability 497 ¬A = df A ⊃ ⊥ Assuming A ∧ B is consistent, it follows from (C4) and (C⊥) that Pr(¬A, B) = 0. Again, from our perspective this is an implausible result. The main purpose of this appendix has been to show that the Morgan–Leblanc–Mares probability calculus cannot do the work Bayesians want a probability calculus to do. That is, it is implausible to regard their Pr(A, B) as the reasonable degree of belief in A given B. Hence the account of conditional probability these authors offer diverges from the intuitionistic Bayesianism that we have been urging heterodox theorists to endorse.
Should We Respond to Evil With Indifference? Abstract In a recent article, Adam Elga outlines a strategy for “Defeating Dr Evil with Self-Locating Belief”. The strategy relies on an indifference principle that is not up to the task. In general, there are two things to dislike about indifference principles: adopting one normally means confusing risk for uncertainty, and they tend to lead to incoherent views in some ‘paradoxical’ situations. I argue that both kinds of objection can be levelled against Elga’s indifference principle. There are also some difficulties with the concept of evidence that Elga uses, and these create further difficulties for the principle. In a recent article, Adam Elga outlines a strategy for “Defeating Dr Evil with Self- Locating Belief”. The strategy relies on an indifference principle that is not up to the task. In general, there are two things to dislike about indifference principles: adopting one normally means confusing risk for uncertainty, and they tend to lead to incoherent views in some ‘paradoxical’ situations. Each kind of objection can be levelled against Elga’s theory, but because Elga is more careful than anyone has ever been in choosing the circumstances under which his indifference principle applies we have to be similarly careful in focussing the objections. Even with this care the objections I put forward here will be less compelling than, say, the objections (Keynes, 1921, Ch. 4) put forward in his criticisms of earlier indifference principles. But there still may be enough to make us reject Elga’s principle. The structure of this note is as follows. In §§1 and 2 I set out Elga’s theory, in §§3 and 4 I discuss some initial objections that I don’t think are particularly telling, in §5 I discuss some paradoxes to which Elga’s theory seems to lead (this is reprised in §9 where I discuss a somewhat different paradoxical case) and in §§7 and 8 I argue that even Elga’s careful indifference principle involves a risk/uncertainty confusion. 1 From Basel to Princeton In (1979a) David Lewis argued that the contents of contentful mental states were not propositions, but properties. When I think that I’m a rock star, I don’t attribute truth to the proposition Brian is a rock star, but rather attribute the property of rock stardom to myself. Lewis was led to this position by considering cases where a believer is mistaken about his own identity. For example, if I believe that I’m a rock star without believing that I’m Brian, and in fact while thinking that Brian is an infamous philosopher, it is odd to attribute to me belief in the proposition Brian is a rock star. But it is perfectly natural to say I self-attribute rock stardom, and that’s just what Lewis says. † Penultimate draft only. Please cite published version if possible. Final version published in Philosophy and Phenomenal Research 70 (2005): 613-35. Thanks to Jamie Dreier, Adam Elga and an anonymous referee for helpful discussions about this paper and suggestions for improvements.
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Online Papers Brian Weatherson Janu
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CONTENTS ii IV Vagueness 410 22 Man
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What Good are Counterexamples? The
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What Good are Counterexamples? 4 Ge
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What Good are Counterexamples? 6 it
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What Good are Counterexamples? 8 to
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What Good are Counterexamples? 10 f
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What Good are Counterexamples? 12 (
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What Good are Counterexamples? 14
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What Good are Counterexamples? 16 c
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What Good are Counterexamples? 18 T
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What Good are Counterexamples? 20 g
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What Good are Counterexamples? 22 p
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Morality, Fiction and Possibility 2
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David Lewis 52 1 Lewis’s Life and
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David Lewis 54 that, and it is comm
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David Lewis 56 co-ordination proble
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David Lewis 58 3.2 Analysis The bas
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David Lewis 60 getting us closer to
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David Lewis 62 the number of new te
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David Lewis 64 So, at least in the
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David Lewis 66 of a belief is a pro
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David Lewis 68 5 Humean Supervenien
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David Lewis 70 Instead of ranking c
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David Lewis 72 5.2 Causation In “
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David Lewis 74 parked cars influenc
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David Lewis 76 to there being at le
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David Lewis 78 In the first chapter
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David Lewis 80 6.3 Paradise on the
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David Lewis 82 problem, what he dub
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David Lewis 84 no classes? Can you
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David Lewis 86 Lewis doubted severa
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David Lewis 88 7.5 Ethics Lewis is
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Part II Epistemology
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Can We Do Without Pragmatic Encroac
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 1 Kno
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 118 S
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 120 d
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 122 M
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 124 i
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 126 T
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 130 q
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 132 p
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 134 1
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 136 w
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 138 S
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Knowledge, Bets and Interests 140 P
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Defending Interest-Relative Invaria
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Deontology and Descartes’ Demon 1
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Luminous Margins 182 But Tolerance
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Luminous Margins 184 was reliable,
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Luminous Margins 186 he actually ha
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Luminous Margins 188 whether he fee
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Scepticism, Rationalism and Externa
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Disagreements, Philosophical and Ot
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 1 Scr
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 222 1
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 224 o
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 226 A
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 228 J
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 230 N
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 232 o
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 234 .
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 236 O
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Do Judgments Screen Evidence? 238 p
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Easy Knowledge and Other Epistemic
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Induction and Supposition 258 Note
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Induction and Supposition 260 this
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Induction and Supposition 262 one s
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Part III Language
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Epistemic Modals in Context 266 1 A
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Epistemic Modals in Context 268 (11
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Epistemic Modals in Context 270 pro
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Epistemic Modals in Context 272 not
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Epistemic Modals in Context 274 in
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Epistemic Modals in Context 276 But
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Epistemic Modals in Context 278 Mor
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Epistemic Modals in Context 280 Sin
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Epistemic Modals in Context 282 his
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Epistemic Modals in Context 284 Fir
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Epistemic Modals in Context 286 eve
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Epistemic Modals in Context 288 The
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Epistemic Modals in Context 290 jus
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Epistemic Modals in Context 292 we
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Epistemic Modals in Context 294 cer
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Epistemic Modals in Context 296 App
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Epistemic Modals in Context 298 So
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Attitudes and Relativism Data about
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Attitudes and Relativism 302 less c
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Attitudes and Relativism 304 contex
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Attitudes and Relativism 306 take a
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Attitudes and Relativism 308 proble
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Attitudes and Relativism 310 6. In
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Attitudes and Relativism 312 it mea
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Attitudes and Relativism 314 to the
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Conditionals and Indexical Relativi
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Indicatives and Subjunctives This p
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Indicatives and Subjunctives 342 (6
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Indicatives and Subjunctives 344 Th
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Indicatives and Subjunctives 346 3
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Indicatives and Subjunctives 348 (b
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Indicatives and Subjunctives 350 cl
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Indicatives and Subjunctives 352 4
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Assertion, Knowledge and Action Ish
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No Royal Road to Relativism 374 are
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No Royal Road to Relativism 376 thi
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No Royal Road to Relativism 378 Haw
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No Royal Road to Relativism 380 the
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Epistemic Modals and Epistemic Moda
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Questioning Contextualism 398 be pr
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Questioning Contextualism 400 (2) D
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Questioning Contextualism 402 Lestr
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Questioning Contextualism 404 And i
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Questioning Contextualism 406 the p
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Questioning Contextualism 408 argum
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Part IV Vagueness
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Many Many Problems 412 we precisify
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Many Many Problems 414 If this is h
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Many Many Problems 416 influence ov
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Many Many Problems 418 our talk and
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Many Many Problems 420 Kilimanjaro(
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Many Many Problems 422 Non-Arbitrar
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Many Many Problems 424 two. 11 In t
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Many Many Problems 426 hard questio
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Vagueness as Indeterminacy Abstract
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Vagueness as Indeterminacy 430 But
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Vagueness as Indeterminacy 432 (f)
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Vagueness as Indeterminacy 434 can
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Vagueness as Indeterminacy 436 seem
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Vagueness as Indeterminacy 438 view
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Vagueness as Indeterminacy 440 Most
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True, Truer, Truest What the world
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True, Truer, Truest 444 But it has
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Stalnaker on Sleeping Beauty 548 is
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Stalnaker on Sleeping Beauty 550 Wh
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Stalnaker on Sleeping Beauty 552 Wi
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Stalnaker on Sleeping Beauty 554 ju
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Stalnaker on Sleeping Beauty 556 Th
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Dogmatism and Intuitionistic Probab
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Intrinsic Properties and Combinator
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Chopping Up Gunk John Hawthorne, Br
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Chopping Up Gunk 600 (3) Occupation
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Chopping Up Gunk 602 Further, in th
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Chopping Up Gunk 604 y and z in S,
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Intrinsic and Extrinsic Properties
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In Defense of a Kripkean Dogma Jona
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Defending Causal Decision Theory In
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Defending Causal Decision Theory 63
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Keynes and Wittgenstein 640 talks a
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Keynes and Wittgenstein 648 How do
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Keynes and Wittgenstein 650 in the
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Doing Philosophy With Words 666 ver
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Doing Philosophy With Words 668 Som
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Doing Philosophy With Words 670 If
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Doing Philosophy With Words 672 The
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Epistemicism, Parasites and Vague N
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Prankster’s Ethics 690 3 A Proble
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Prankster’s Ethics 692 self might
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Are You a Sim? 694 so what we know
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Are You a Sim? 696 particular, she
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Are You a Sim? 698 way from knowing
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Humeans Aren’t Out of Their Minds
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Misleading Indexicals 712 prominent
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 714 Barker, Stephen. 1
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 718 DePaul, Michael an
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 720 Ellis, Brian. 1991
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 722 Geach, P. T. 1969.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 736 McCawley, James. 1
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 742 Shoemaker, Sydney.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY 748 Wolfe, Tom. 2000.
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