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Early notification allows the operational elements of the UNHCR to prepare for a<br />

potential emergency. One senior UNHCR official indicated that operational elements of<br />

the UNHCR develop their own, informal “early warnings” of impending crises using a<br />

variety of information sources that they monitor themselves. In this case, the purpose of<br />

early warning is to ensure the UNHCR’s emergency response capability is prepared to<br />

meet the eventuality of a refugee emergency. Mr. Bernard Doyle of UNHCR likened the<br />

UNHCR’s mission to that of an ambulance driver. The ambulance driver cannot prevent<br />

an accident from occurring, but he can anticipate the conditions (such as a snowstorm)<br />

under which accidents are likely to occur and plan accordingly.<br />

Thus, early warning <strong>with</strong>in the UNHCR means different things to different people.<br />

There is considerable institutional skepticism over the value of early warning, in its purest<br />

form, because of the UNHCR’s inability to take preventive action in most situations.<br />

Operational elements of the UNHCR consider early warning to be linked to emergency<br />

preparedness, and Mrs. Ogata considers most early warning to be early notification. The<br />

CDR has institutional responsibility for coordinating early warning efforts <strong>with</strong> DHA and<br />

for overseeing the UNHCR’s warning systems, and it is these warning systems which will<br />

be considered next.<br />

The UNHCR’s warning “systems” do not produce warning messages per se. Rather,<br />

they share information and intelligence that can be useful throughout the UNHCR and the<br />

international relief community (Ruiz: 155). While the UNHCR considers IRENE and the<br />

COIP to be warning systems, they really represent a communications system and a database<br />

that can support other early warning efforts.<br />

IRENE. IRENE is a system of electronic bulletin boards that allows refugee agencies<br />

around the world to exchange information using electronic mail. It evolved from a project<br />

known as the International Refugee Documentation Network (IRDN) which originated<br />

following a 1986 conference attended by 25 different relief agencies. Conference participants<br />

recommended the UNHCR administer the IRDN, and in June 1987, the High Commissioner<br />

agreed to assume a “coordinating function” for the project (IRDN b: 10).<br />

Unfortunately, IRENE “suffers considerably from lack of participation by other IRDN<br />

members” (IRDN a: 6).<br />

COIP. The COIP is really just a database <strong>with</strong> a modicum of intelligence analysis.<br />

According to the CDR, the COIP acts as the principal resource <strong>with</strong>in the UNHCR for the<br />

provision of “relevant, credible, reliable, and current” information, including political,<br />

economic, social and legal structures, and human rights, in likely refugee producing or<br />

receiving countries (Ruiz: 155).<br />

The COIP supports early warning efforts solely by making information and intelligence<br />

available to a wide variety of users throughout the UNHCR and the international<br />

relief community. Neither IRENE nor the COIP routinely produce warning products that<br />

are publicly available. However, the intent is eventually to produce warning reports for<br />

UN and UNHCR decisionmakers.<br />

264

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