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learning with professionals - Higgins Counterterrorism Research ...

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■ Required vs. Desired. In addition to accuracy, other specifications, such as technical<br />

parameters or level of output detail, generally have increased costs as the specifications<br />

become more stringent.<br />

■ Marginal Cost. Marginal or incremental cost bears a similar relationship to cost as<br />

synergy does to value. One or many requirements might be satisfied <strong>with</strong> a single<br />

element of cost, whether measured as a single minute, image, etc.<br />

■ Cost Apportionment. The cost of a collection mission must be apportioned among<br />

all the requirements against which collection was attempted, not just those for<br />

which collection was successful.<br />

The explanation of the impact of the situation on cost follows the discussion on issues,<br />

unlike the section on value, for two reasons. First, other elements besides the consumption<br />

of an asset’s time and the situational impact on consumption contribute to the determination<br />

of cost. Second, the actual cost to collect information can vary radically from<br />

the expected cost. The situation certainly impacts expected value, but value is determined<br />

primarily in pre-collection planning mode. On the other hand, the cost of collection is<br />

subject to the pitfalls of reality and the laws of probability during execution.<br />

In addition to the generic factors itemized above, the following situational factors<br />

could impact the calculation of an asset’s time to collect against a specific requirement. To<br />

some degree, the collection requirements manager should be able to estimate the impact<br />

of these factors on the time calculation.<br />

■ Weather. Anticipated adverse weather conditions could cause a deviation in a normal<br />

flight path or require a sensor to extend its dwell time in order to adequately<br />

sense the target. Weather could also prevent collection from taking place at all.<br />

■ Terrain. Like weather, terrain (especially man-made changes such as battle damage<br />

or camouflage) could limit sensor access so that greater dwell time is required to<br />

sense the target.<br />

■ Enemy. The enemy could threaten an asset and hinder access so that fewer targets<br />

could be sensed in a single mission. Hence the cost per requirement would be<br />

greater.<br />

■ Friendlies. Because of the imposition of restrictive rules of engagement, the time<br />

required to collect certain information may increase. Flight paths may be curtailed<br />

or the availability of certain desirable terrain, such as high ground, may be reserved<br />

for operational forces.<br />

■ Recent Asset History. The state of the asset, such as maintenance level, or of its<br />

operators, including the level of sleep deprivation, will affect the efficiency of the<br />

asset and hence time consumption. Overtasking could also result in inefficiencies<br />

and human error.<br />

■ Use of Marginal Assets. Because of issues related to asset capabilities, accessibilities,<br />

and availabilities, in addition to the factors noted above, some assets may only<br />

be marginally capable of collecting against a requirement. If marginal assets were<br />

selected to execute the collection mission, their anticipated inefficiencies may<br />

314

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