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A First Course in Linear Algebra, 2017a

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7.3. Applications of Spectral Theory 375<br />

=<br />

=<br />

⎡<br />

⎣<br />

⎡<br />

⎣<br />

0.4 0.1 0.5<br />

0.4 0.6 0.1<br />

0.2 0.3 0.4<br />

0.4<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

⎤<br />

⎦<br />

⎤⎡<br />

⎦⎣<br />

1<br />

0<br />

0<br />

⎤<br />

⎦<br />

X 2 = AX<br />

⎡ 1<br />

⎤⎡<br />

0.4 0.1 0.5<br />

= ⎣ 0.4 0.6 0.1 ⎦⎣<br />

0.2 0.3 0.4<br />

⎡ ⎤<br />

0.3<br />

= ⎣ 0.42 ⎦<br />

0.28<br />

0.4<br />

0.4<br />

0.2<br />

⎤<br />

⎦<br />

This gives the probabilities that our walker ends up <strong>in</strong> locations 1, 2, and 3. For this example we are<br />

<strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> location 3, with a probability on 0.28.<br />

♠<br />

Return<strong>in</strong>g to the context of migration, suppose we wish to know how many residents will be <strong>in</strong> a<br />

certa<strong>in</strong> location after a very long time. It turns out that if some power of the migration matrix has all<br />

positive entries, then there is a vector X s such that A n X 0 approaches X s as n becomes very large. Hence as<br />

more time passes and n <strong>in</strong>creases, A n X 0 will become closer to the vector X s .<br />

Consider Theorem 7.33. Letn <strong>in</strong>crease so that X n approaches X s .AsX n becomes closer to X s ,sotoo<br />

does X n+1 . For sufficiently large n, the statement X n+1 = AX n can be written as X s = AX s .<br />

This discussion motivates the follow<strong>in</strong>g theorem.<br />

Theorem 7.36: Steady State Vector<br />

Let A be a migration matrix. Then there exists a steady state vector written X s such that<br />

X s = AX s<br />

where X s has positive entries which have the same sum as the entries of X 0 .<br />

As n <strong>in</strong>creases, the state vectors X n will approach X s .<br />

Note that the condition <strong>in</strong> Theorem 7.36 can be written as (I − A)X s = 0, represent<strong>in</strong>g a homogeneous<br />

system of equations.<br />

Consider the follow<strong>in</strong>g example. Notice that it is the same example as the Example 7.34 but here it<br />

will <strong>in</strong>volve a longer time frame.

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