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A First Course in Linear Algebra, 2017a

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7.3. Applications of Spectral Theory 393<br />

Given this <strong>in</strong>formation, what are the probabilities that a given day is ra<strong>in</strong>y, sunny, or partly cloudy?<br />

Exercise 7.3.14 The follow<strong>in</strong>g table describes the transition probabilities between the states ra<strong>in</strong>y, partly<br />

cloudy and sunny. The symbol p.c. <strong>in</strong>dicates partly cloudy. Thus if it starts off p.c. it ends up sunny the<br />

next day with probability<br />

10 1 . If it starts off sunny, it ends up sunny the next day with probability 2 5<br />

and so<br />

forth.<br />

ra<strong>in</strong>s sunny p.c.<br />

ra<strong>in</strong>s<br />

1<br />

5<br />

1<br />

5<br />

1<br />

3<br />

sunny<br />

1<br />

10<br />

2<br />

5<br />

4<br />

9<br />

p.c.<br />

7<br />

10<br />

2<br />

5<br />

2<br />

9<br />

Given this <strong>in</strong>formation, what are the probabilities that a given day is ra<strong>in</strong>y, sunny, or partly cloudy?<br />

Exercise 7.3.15 You own a trailer rental company <strong>in</strong> a large city and you have four locations, one <strong>in</strong><br />

the South East, one <strong>in</strong> the North East, one <strong>in</strong> the North West, and one <strong>in</strong> the South West. Denote these<br />

locations by SE,NE,NW, and SW respectively. Suppose that the follow<strong>in</strong>g table is observed to take place.<br />

SE NE NW SW<br />

5 1 1 1<br />

SE 11 10 10 5<br />

1 7 1 1<br />

NE 11 10 5 10<br />

NW<br />

11<br />

2 1 3 1<br />

10 5 5<br />

SW 3<br />

11<br />

1<br />

10<br />

In this table, the probability that a trailer start<strong>in</strong>g at NE ends <strong>in</strong> NW is 1/10, the probability that a trailer<br />

start<strong>in</strong>g at SW ends <strong>in</strong> NW is 1/5, and so forth. Approximately how many will you have <strong>in</strong> each location<br />

after a long time if the total number of trailers is 407?<br />

Exercise 7.3.16 The University of Poohbah offers three degree programs, scout<strong>in</strong>g education (SE), dance<br />

appreciation (DA), and eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g (E). It has been determ<strong>in</strong>ed that the probabilities of transferr<strong>in</strong>g from<br />

one program to another are as <strong>in</strong> the follow<strong>in</strong>g table.<br />

1<br />

10<br />

SE DA E<br />

SE .8 .1 .3<br />

DA .1 .7 .5<br />

E .1 .2 .2<br />

where the number <strong>in</strong>dicates the probability of transferr<strong>in</strong>g from the top program to the program on the<br />

left. Thus the probability of go<strong>in</strong>g from DA to E is .2. F<strong>in</strong>d the probability that a student is enrolled <strong>in</strong> the<br />

various programs.<br />

Exercise 7.3.17 In the city of Nabal, there are three political persuasions, republicans (R), democrats (D),<br />

and neither one (N). The follow<strong>in</strong>g table shows the transition probabilities between the political parties,<br />

1<br />

2

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