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A First Course in Linear Algebra, 2017a

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392 Spectral Theory<br />

It is unknown where the walker starts, but the probability of start<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> each location is given by<br />

⎡ ⎤<br />

0.2<br />

X 0 = ⎣ 0.25 ⎦<br />

0.55<br />

What is the probability of the walker be<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> location 1 at time n = 2?<br />

Exercise 7.3.11 You own a trailer rental company <strong>in</strong> a large city and you have four locations, one <strong>in</strong><br />

the South East, one <strong>in</strong> the North East, one <strong>in</strong> the North West, and one <strong>in</strong> the South West. Denote these<br />

locations by SE,NE,NW, and SW respectively. Suppose that the follow<strong>in</strong>g table is observed to take place.<br />

SE NE NW SW<br />

SE<br />

1<br />

3<br />

1<br />

10<br />

1<br />

10<br />

1<br />

5<br />

NE<br />

1<br />

3<br />

7<br />

10<br />

1<br />

5<br />

1<br />

10<br />

NW 2 9<br />

1<br />

10<br />

3<br />

5<br />

1<br />

5<br />

SW 1 9<br />

1<br />

10<br />

In this table, the probability that a trailer start<strong>in</strong>g at NE ends <strong>in</strong> NW is 1/10, the probability that a trailer<br />

start<strong>in</strong>g at SW ends <strong>in</strong> NW is 1/5, and so forth. Approximately how many will you have <strong>in</strong> each location<br />

after a long time if the total number of trailers is 413?<br />

Exercise 7.3.12 You own a trailer rental company <strong>in</strong> a large city and you have four locations, one <strong>in</strong><br />

the South East, one <strong>in</strong> the North East, one <strong>in</strong> the North West, and one <strong>in</strong> the South West. Denote these<br />

locations by SE,NE,NW, and SW respectively. Suppose that the follow<strong>in</strong>g table is observed to take place.<br />

1<br />

10<br />

SE NE NW SW<br />

SE<br />

1<br />

7<br />

1<br />

4<br />

1<br />

10<br />

1<br />

5<br />

NE<br />

2<br />

7<br />

1<br />

4<br />

1<br />

5<br />

1<br />

NW 1 7<br />

SW 3 7<br />

1<br />

2<br />

10<br />

1 3 1<br />

4 5 5<br />

1 1 1<br />

4 10 2<br />

In this table, the probability that a trailer start<strong>in</strong>g at NE ends <strong>in</strong> NW is 1/10, the probability that a trailer<br />

start<strong>in</strong>g at SW ends <strong>in</strong> NW is 1/5, and so forth. Approximately how many will you have <strong>in</strong> each location<br />

after a long time if the total number of trailers is 1469.<br />

Exercise 7.3.13 The follow<strong>in</strong>g table describes the transition probabilities between the states ra<strong>in</strong>y, partly<br />

cloudy and sunny. The symbol p.c. <strong>in</strong>dicates partly cloudy. Thus if it starts off p.c. it ends up sunny the<br />

next day with probability 1 5 . If it starts off sunny, it ends up sunny the next day with probability 2 5<br />

and so<br />

forth.<br />

ra<strong>in</strong>s sunny p.c.<br />

ra<strong>in</strong>s<br />

1<br />

5<br />

1<br />

5<br />

1<br />

3<br />

sunny<br />

1<br />

5<br />

2<br />

5<br />

1<br />

3<br />

p.c.<br />

3<br />

5<br />

2<br />

5<br />

1<br />

3

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