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will likely be scattered Douglas‐fir with small patches <strong>of</strong> aspen scattered over a landscape mostly<br />

covered by pine in decline. Lodgepole pine established <strong>on</strong> the wetter, cooler aspects will have a<br />

higher chance <strong>of</strong> survival, but the climate will not be favourable to pine in the l<strong>on</strong>g run. There will<br />

be a trend to more open forests and more grasslands.<br />

Engelmann Spruce­ Subalpine Fir (ESSF) Z<strong>on</strong>e<br />

The ESSF z<strong>on</strong>e lies below the Alpine Tundra z<strong>on</strong>e and above the MS or IDF z<strong>on</strong>es. There are two<br />

ESSF subz<strong>on</strong>es in the study area‐ ESSFxv1 (very dry very cold) and the ESSFxvp (very dry very cold<br />

parkland). The ESSFxv1 lies between 1650 and 2100m. It is dominated by lodgepole pine forests<br />

which regenerate following relatively frequent fires. Subalpine fir and Engelmann spruce are<br />

present<br />

in the understory however; few seral pine forests have been replaced by these l<strong>on</strong>g lived<br />

species. Whitebark pine is comm<strong>on</strong> at elevati<strong>on</strong>s above 1850m <strong>on</strong> drier, warm aspects.<br />

The ESSFxvp is a parkland subz<strong>on</strong>e characterized by patches <strong>of</strong> stunted trees. It is dominated by<br />

subalpine fir with spruce <strong>on</strong> cool exposures and Whitebark pine and lodgepole pine <strong>on</strong> warmer<br />

aspects.<br />

Climate impacts: By 2050 the climate <strong>of</strong> this area will also be warmer and wetter overall, but<br />

summers will be drier. It is colder and wetter than the IDF, but warmer than the MS z<strong>on</strong>es. It is<br />

likely that fire frequency will go up and all species may move up in elevati<strong>on</strong>. Douglas‐fir may also<br />

move up slope from lower habitats as climate warms. The parkland areas will become more treed,<br />

however the speed at which this happens will be limited by soil development (Campbell et al.<br />

2009). The slow maturing Whitebark pine will be threatened as it cannot adapt rapidly to changing<br />

c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s and will probably be out‐competed. 55<br />

Culturally Important Plants<br />

56 57<br />

As the authors <strong>of</strong> the Kamloops Future Forest Strategy (2009) describe, the dynamic nature <strong>of</strong><br />

ecosystems<br />

makes predicti<strong>on</strong>s about future c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s challenging at best. However, some<br />

generalities<br />

were surmised:<br />

• L<strong>on</strong>g lived species may be able to survive changes.<br />

• Wet to moist site plants will see suitable habitat shrink, while some dryland species may be<br />

threatened by competiti<strong>on</strong> by invasive species.<br />

• However, species that are adapted to wet or dry c<strong>on</strong>diti<strong>on</strong>s will<br />

likely survive where<br />

biophysical factors influence the amount <strong>of</strong> moisture available.<br />

• Drought adapted species may also have a wide range <strong>of</strong> adaptati<strong>on</strong>. Vulnerability <strong>of</strong> culturally important plants <strong>of</strong> the Xeni Gwet’in will vary by species. There have<br />

been upwards <strong>of</strong> 50 species identified as important to most First Nati<strong>on</strong>s in the Cariboo‐Chilcotin. 58<br />

What follows is a small selecti<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> those plants that were specifically identified as important by the<br />

survey <strong>of</strong> the Xeni Gwet’in elders.<br />

Clayt<strong>on</strong>ia lanceolata (Indian po tato) (Western Spring Beauty)<br />

55 Cox 2000.<br />

56 Ecology summarized<br />

from Parish et al. 1996.<br />

57 Informati<strong>on</strong> also<br />

provided by Ray Coupe, Ecologist, Ministry <strong>of</strong> Forests and Range, Williams Lake.<br />

58 Powell 2005.<br />

38

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