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Observations and Modelling of Fronts and Frontogenesis

Observations and Modelling of Fronts and Frontogenesis

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Figure 11.7 displays the probability density <strong>of</strong> these<br />

gradients. The dotted line represents a Gaussian<br />

distribution with the observed mean <strong>and</strong> st<strong>and</strong>ard deviation.<br />

The observed kurtosis is 76, much larger than the Gaussian<br />

value <strong>of</strong> 3. This suggests the presence <strong>of</strong> a velocity field<br />

that strains the temperature gradients to small scales. The<br />

large kurtosis is characteristic <strong>of</strong> processes with sharp<br />

transitions between small <strong>and</strong> large values. It measures the<br />

front-like nature <strong>of</strong> the surface temperature field, which is<br />

dominated by intermittent large gradients separated by<br />

regions <strong>of</strong> small gradients. Qualitatively similar<br />

distributions <strong>of</strong> temperature <strong>and</strong> velocity gradients occur at<br />

small scales in three-dimensional turbulence (Monin <strong>and</strong><br />

Yaglom, 1975). Calculations <strong>of</strong> the kurtosis for<br />

distributions <strong>of</strong> average horizontal gradient over distances<br />

from 100 m to 100 km show that the kurtosis increases sharply<br />

below scales <strong>of</strong> 10 km, with an evident but irregular change<br />

in dependence at a few hundred meters, roughly the vertical<br />

scales <strong>of</strong> the surface boundary layer.<br />

II.4.b Spectra<br />

Figure 11.8 displays the ensemble averaged horizontal<br />

wavenumber spectrum <strong>of</strong> 15 m horizontal temperature gradient,<br />

b<strong>and</strong> averaged to 5 b<strong>and</strong>s per decade. The variability between<br />

10 <strong>and</strong> 100 km wavelengths that is evident in the time series<br />

16

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