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Statistical Methods in Medical Research 4ed

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Are these results consistent with the hypothesis that, <strong>in</strong> a large enough series of counts, the<br />

mean for preparation B will be 10 times that for preparation A? If the counts on B are<br />

divided by 10 and denoted by x2, the counts on A be<strong>in</strong>g denoted by x1, an equivalent<br />

question is whether the means of x1 and x2 differ significantly.<br />

Preparation<br />

A B<br />

Counts<br />

x1<br />

x2<br />

0 1 0<br />

0 1 3<br />

1 1 3<br />

1 1 4<br />

1 1 9<br />

1 2 0<br />

2 2 1<br />

2 2 6<br />

3 2 9<br />

n1 ˆ 9 n2 ˆ 9<br />

x1 ˆ 1 2222 x2 ˆ 1 8333<br />

s2 1 ˆ 0 9444 s2 2 ˆ 0 4100.<br />

The estimates of variance are perhaps not sufficiently different here to cause great<br />

disquiet, but it is known from experience with this type of data that estimates of variance<br />

of pock counts, standardized for dilution as we did for x2, tend to decrease as the orig<strong>in</strong>al<br />

counts <strong>in</strong>crease. The excess of s2 1 over s2 2 is therefore probably not due to sampl<strong>in</strong>g error.<br />

We have<br />

1 2222 1 8333<br />

d ˆ r ˆ<br />

0 9444 0 4100<br />

‡<br />

9 9<br />

0 6111<br />

ˆ 1 58:<br />

0 3879<br />

Note that, when, as here, n1 ˆ n2, d turns out to have exactly the same numerical value as<br />

t, because the expression <strong>in</strong>side the square root can be written either as<br />

or as<br />

s2 1<br />

n ‡ s2 2<br />

n<br />

1<br />

2 …s21 ‡ s2 1 1<br />

2 † ‡<br />

n n :<br />

Us<strong>in</strong>g Satterthwaite's approximation, the test statistic of 1.58 can be referred to the t<br />

distribution with DF given by<br />

n ˆ<br />

0 15042 0 10492 =8 ‡ 0 04552 ˆ 13 8:<br />

=8<br />

4.3 Comparison of two means 111<br />

Us<strong>in</strong>g 14 DF the significance level is 0 14. The 95% confidence limits for the difference<br />

between the two means are

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