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Statistical Methods in Medical Research 4ed

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(1989) propose an approach which tries to identify appropriate error structures<br />

from the data themselves. These authors assume that the data obey the model<br />

y …l†<br />

i<br />

ˆ Vmaxxi<br />

KM ‡ xi<br />

…l†<br />

‡ x u i ei,<br />

where ei are <strong>in</strong>dependent normal random variables with mean 0 and variance s 2<br />

and z …l† denotes the Box±Cox transformation (see §10.8). The parameters l and<br />

u, as well as KM, Vmax and s, are estimated by maximum likelihood. The form of<br />

error model <strong>in</strong>duced by certa<strong>in</strong> pairs of values for l and u are described <strong>in</strong><br />

Table 1 of Ruppert et al. (1989).<br />

An alternative approach to estimat<strong>in</strong>g the form of the error from the data<br />

was discussed by Nelder (1991) <strong>in</strong> a rejo<strong>in</strong>der to Ruppert et al. Nelder advocated<br />

us<strong>in</strong>g a generalized l<strong>in</strong>ear model, with mean given by (20.21) and variance<br />

function V…m† ˆm u ; a reciprocal l<strong>in</strong>k applied to (20.21) gives a form that is<br />

l<strong>in</strong>ear <strong>in</strong> KM=Vmax and 1=Vmax. Parameters are estimated by extended quasilikelihood<br />

(see McCullagh & Nelder, 1989, p. 349): values of u close to zero will<br />

correspond to the model that has constant variance on the scale of (20.21) and<br />

values close to 2 correspond to errors with a constant coefficient of variation.<br />

The relative merits of the approaches advocated by Nelder and by Ruppert et al.<br />

are discussed by the authors at the end of Nelder's article.<br />

Example 20.1<br />

20.5 Some special assays 733<br />

The data from Forsyth et al. (1993) considered <strong>in</strong> Example 12.5 are now reconsidered. The<br />

Michaelis±Menten equation is fitted <strong>in</strong> six ways. Figure 20.5(a) shows (20.21) fitted<br />

directly us<strong>in</strong>g non-l<strong>in</strong>ear methods and assum<strong>in</strong>g a constant error variance on the scale<br />

of the reaction velocities: Fig. 20.5 (b, c and d) shows, respectively, the data transformed<br />

by (20.22), (20.23) and (20.24), together with the ord<strong>in</strong>ary least squares regression l<strong>in</strong>e.<br />

From Fig. 20.5(a) it appears that the data conform closely to the Michaelis±Menten<br />

equation but this impression is not fully susta<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> the other plots. In each of the other<br />

plots there is a discrepant po<strong>in</strong>t which, <strong>in</strong> each case, corresponds to the observation with<br />

the smallest substrate concentration. In Fig. 20.5(b) the discrepancy is perhaps less<br />

obvious because the discrepant po<strong>in</strong>t is so <strong>in</strong>fluential that it forces the fitted l<strong>in</strong>e to depart<br />

from the obvious l<strong>in</strong>e of the rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g po<strong>in</strong>ts.<br />

Figure 20.6 is the direct l<strong>in</strong>ear plot for these data: three of the 10 <strong>in</strong>tersections between<br />

the five l<strong>in</strong>es result <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>tersections with negative values for both KM and Vmax. These<br />

po<strong>in</strong>ts all <strong>in</strong>volve <strong>in</strong>tersection with the l<strong>in</strong>e correspond<strong>in</strong>g to the po<strong>in</strong>t which appeared<br />

discrepant <strong>in</strong> Fig. 20.5. The one <strong>in</strong>tersection with this l<strong>in</strong>e that is <strong>in</strong> the first quadrant is<br />

clearly distant from the other <strong>in</strong>tersections, which are relatively closely clustered.<br />

The estimates of KM and Vmax from these methods are shown <strong>in</strong> Table 20.1.<br />

The estimated values are clearly highly dependent on the method of fitt<strong>in</strong>g. Admittedly<br />

this is what might be expected when only five po<strong>in</strong>ts are analysed, but this number is not<br />

atypical <strong>in</strong> applications. The negative values from the L<strong>in</strong>eweaver±Burk transformation<br />

emphasize the sensitivity of this method to even slightly unusual observations. As

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