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Statistical Methods in Medical Research 4ed

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depends on the structure <strong>in</strong> the data, which is often unknown. In effect, each<br />

method imposes implicit assumptions on the type of cluster<strong>in</strong>g expected, and if<br />

these assumptions are <strong>in</strong>valid the results may be mean<strong>in</strong>gless. For this reason we<br />

suggest that cluster analysis should only be used <strong>in</strong> circumstances where other<br />

multivariate methods are <strong>in</strong>appropriate, and the results must be <strong>in</strong>terpreted with<br />

a great deal of caution.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>ally, the method of cluster analysis should not be confused with the<br />

problem of determ<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g whether cases of disease occur <strong>in</strong> clusters <strong>in</strong> time,<br />

space or families. This problem gives rise to different methods discussed <strong>in</strong><br />

§19.13.<br />

Multidimensional scal<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Suppose data are available on a set of <strong>in</strong>dividuals and it is possible to derive an<br />

<strong>in</strong>dex of similarity, or dissimilarity, between every pair of <strong>in</strong>dividuals. This <strong>in</strong>dex<br />

would be of the same type as those considered <strong>in</strong> the discussion of cluster<br />

analysis. Then multidimensional scal<strong>in</strong>g is a method of arrang<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>dividuals<br />

<strong>in</strong> a space of a few dimensions so that the distances between the po<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>in</strong> this<br />

space are nearly the same as the measures of dissimilarity. In particular, if two<br />

dimensions provide an adequate representation, then it is possible to plot the<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividuals on a two-dimensional graph, and exam<strong>in</strong>ation of how the <strong>in</strong>dividuals<br />

are arranged on this graph might lead to some useful <strong>in</strong>terpretation. For<br />

example, the <strong>in</strong>dividuals might occur <strong>in</strong> clusters.<br />

The method is, like many multivariate methods, an attempt to reduce dimensionality.<br />

If the dissimilarities are measured us<strong>in</strong>g a set of cont<strong>in</strong>uous variables,<br />

then the method of pr<strong>in</strong>cipal components has a similar aim.<br />

For more details on this method, see Chatfield and Coll<strong>in</strong>s (1980) and Cox<br />

and Cox (2001).<br />

13.5 Conclud<strong>in</strong>g remarks<br />

13.5 Conclud<strong>in</strong>g remarks 483<br />

All the multivariate methods rely on a large amount of computation and have<br />

only been widely applicable <strong>in</strong> the last three decades follow<strong>in</strong>g the development<br />

of computer statistical software. The ease of perform<strong>in</strong>g the calculations leads to<br />

a risk that multivariate methods may be applied bl<strong>in</strong>dly <strong>in</strong> circumstances different<br />

from those for which they were designed, and that <strong>in</strong>correct conclusions may<br />

be drawn from them.<br />

The majority of data sets are multivariate and therefore multivariate analysis<br />

of some sort is often required. In choos<strong>in</strong>g an approach, it is essential to keep<br />

uppermost <strong>in</strong> m<strong>in</strong>d the objective of the research and only to use a method of<br />

analysis if it is appropriate for that objective. In many cases, the objective is to<br />

exam<strong>in</strong>e the relationship between an outcome variable and a number of possible

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