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Statistical Methods in Medical Research 4ed

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Vital capacity (l)<br />

6<br />

5<br />

4<br />

3<br />

20 30 40<br />

Age (years)<br />

B<br />

A<br />

A<br />

50 60 70<br />

B Separate slope<br />

}<br />

Parallel l<strong>in</strong>es<br />

Separate slope<br />

Fig. 11.5 Scatter diagram show<strong>in</strong>g age and vital capacity of 84 men work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> the cadmium <strong>in</strong>dustry,<br />

divided <strong>in</strong>to three groups (Table 11.4). (d) Group A1; ( ) Group A2; (s) Group B.<br />

the slope for group A may be partly or wholly due to a curvature <strong>in</strong> the regression: there is<br />

a suggestion that the mean value of y at high values of x is lower than is predicted by<br />

the l<strong>in</strong>ear regressions (see p. 330). Alternatively it may be that a l<strong>in</strong>ear regression is<br />

appropriate for each group, but that for group A the vital capacity decl<strong>in</strong>es more rapidly<br />

with age than for group B.<br />

More than two groups<br />

With any number of groups the pooled slope b is given by a generalization of<br />

(11.21):<br />

P<br />

i b ˆ<br />

Sxyi<br />

P<br />

i Sxxi<br />

: …11:23†<br />

Parallel l<strong>in</strong>es may now be drawn through the mean po<strong>in</strong>ts (xi, yi), each with<br />

the same slope b. That for the ith group will have this equation:<br />

Yci ˆ yi ‡ b…x xi†: …11:24†<br />

The subscript c is used to <strong>in</strong>dicate that the predicted value Yci is obta<strong>in</strong>ed us<strong>in</strong>g<br />

the common slope, b.<br />

The deviation of any observed value y from its group mean yi may be divided<br />

as follows:<br />

y yi ˆ…y Yi†‡…Yi Yci†‡…Yci yi†: …11:25†<br />

g<br />

11.4 Regression <strong>in</strong> groups 327

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