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Statistical Methods in Medical Research 4ed

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264 Experimental design<br />

type of design called a set of balanced lattice squares may be useful here. For a<br />

brief description, see Cox (1958, §11.3(iii)); for details, see Cochran and Cox<br />

(1957, Chapter 12).<br />

In a balanced <strong>in</strong>complete block design all treatments are handled <strong>in</strong> a symmetric<br />

way. All contrasts between pairs of treatments are, for example, estimated<br />

with equal precision. Some other <strong>in</strong>complete block designs reta<strong>in</strong> some, but not<br />

all, of the symmetry of the balanced designs. They may be adopted because of a<br />

deliberate wish to estimate some contrasts more precisely than others. Or it may<br />

be that physical restrictions on the size of the experiment do not permit any of<br />

the balanced designs to be used. Lattice designs (not to be confused with lattice<br />

squares), <strong>in</strong> particular, are useful when a large number of treatments are to be<br />

compared and where the smallest balanced design is likely to be too large for<br />

practical use.<br />

Sometimes it may be necessary to use <strong>in</strong>complete block designs which have<br />

no degree of symmetry. For some worked examples, see Pearce (1965, 1983).<br />

Fractional replication and confound<strong>in</strong>g<br />

If the rows and columns of a Lat<strong>in</strong> square represent different treatment factors<br />

and the Lat<strong>in</strong> letters represent a third treatment factor, we have an <strong>in</strong>complete<br />

factorial design. As we have seen <strong>in</strong> discuss<strong>in</strong>g the analysis of the Lat<strong>in</strong> square,<br />

one consequence is that the ma<strong>in</strong> effects of the factors can be studied only if the<br />

<strong>in</strong>teractions are assumed to be absent. There are many other <strong>in</strong>complete or<br />

fractional factorial designs <strong>in</strong> which only a fraction of all the possible comb<strong>in</strong>ations<br />

of factor levels are used, with the consequence that not all the ma<strong>in</strong> effects<br />

or <strong>in</strong>teractions can be separately <strong>in</strong>vestigated.<br />

Such designs may be very useful for experiments with a large number of<br />

factors <strong>in</strong> which the number of observations required for a complete factorial<br />

experiment is greater than can conveniently be used, or where the ma<strong>in</strong> effects<br />

can be estimated sufficiently precisely with less than the complete number of<br />

observations. If by the use of a fractional factorial design we have to sacrifice the<br />

ability to estimate some of the ma<strong>in</strong> effects or <strong>in</strong>teractions, it will usually be<br />

convenient if we can arrange to lose <strong>in</strong>formation about the higher-order <strong>in</strong>teractions<br />

rather than the ma<strong>in</strong> effects or lower-order <strong>in</strong>teractions, because the<br />

former are unlikely to be large without the latter also appear<strong>in</strong>g large, whereas<br />

the converse is not true. A further po<strong>in</strong>t to remember is that SSq for high-order<br />

<strong>in</strong>teractions are often pooled <strong>in</strong> the analysis of variance to give an estimate of<br />

residual variance. The sacrifice of <strong>in</strong>formation about some of these will reduce<br />

the residual DF, and if this is done too drastically there will be an <strong>in</strong>adequately<br />

precise estimate of error unless an estimate is available from other data.<br />

Fractional factorial designs have been much used <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustrial and agricultural<br />

work where the simultaneous effects of large numbers of factors have to be

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