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Statistical Methods in Medical Research 4ed

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esponses on an <strong>in</strong>dividual to a suitable scalar quantity, which can then be<br />

analysed simply, is the key idea beh<strong>in</strong>d the important approach to the analysis<br />

of longitud<strong>in</strong>al data that is outl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> the next subsection.<br />

Summary measures<br />

12.6 Longitud<strong>in</strong>al data 435<br />

Perhaps the pr<strong>in</strong>cipal difficulty <strong>in</strong> analys<strong>in</strong>g longitud<strong>in</strong>al data is cop<strong>in</strong>g with the<br />

dependency that is likely to exist between responses on the same <strong>in</strong>dividual.<br />

However, there is no more difficulty <strong>in</strong> assum<strong>in</strong>g that responses from different<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividuals are <strong>in</strong>dependent than <strong>in</strong> other areas of data analysis (this assumes, for<br />

simplicity, that the <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>in</strong> the analysis are not embedded <strong>in</strong> a larger<br />

design, such as a complex survey (see §19.2) or a cluster-randomized trial (see<br />

§18.9), which may itself <strong>in</strong>duce dependence). Consequently, if the responses on<br />

<strong>in</strong>dividual i, y i, together with other <strong>in</strong>formation, such as the times of the<br />

responses, ti, say, are used to compute a suitable scalar (i.e. a s<strong>in</strong>gle value), si,<br />

say, then the si are <strong>in</strong>dependent and can be analysed us<strong>in</strong>g straightforward<br />

statistical methods. The value of this approach, which can be called the summary<br />

measures method, rests on the ability of the analyst to be able to specify a suitable<br />

function of the observations that can capture an important feature of the<br />

response of each <strong>in</strong>dividual. For this reason the method is sometimes referred<br />

to as response feature analysis (Crowder & Hand, 1990). The method has a long<br />

history, an early use be<strong>in</strong>g by Wishart (1938). More recent discussions can be<br />

found <strong>in</strong> Healy (1981), Yates (1982) and Matthews et al. (1990).<br />

If, for example, the response of <strong>in</strong>terest is the overall level of a blood<br />

chemistry measurement, then the simple average of the responses on an <strong>in</strong>dividual<br />

may be adequate. If the effect of some treatment on this quantity is be<strong>in</strong>g<br />

assessed then it may be sensible to omit the first few determ<strong>in</strong>ations from the<br />

average, so as to allow the treatment time to have its effect. A rate of change<br />

might best be summarized by def<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g si to be the regression slope of y i on ti.<br />

Summaries based on the time-scale may be particularly important from a cl<strong>in</strong>ical<br />

po<strong>in</strong>t of view: the time that a quantity, such as a drug concentration, is above a<br />

therapeutic level or the time to a maximum response may be suitable summaries.<br />

It may be that more than one feature of the data is of <strong>in</strong>terest and it would then<br />

be legitimate to def<strong>in</strong>e and analyse a summary for each such feature. Simple<br />

bivariate analyses of summaries are also possible, although they seem to be little<br />

used <strong>in</strong> practice. Judgement should be exercised <strong>in</strong> the number of summaries that<br />

are to be analysed; summaries should correspond to dist<strong>in</strong>ct features of the<br />

response and <strong>in</strong> practice there are unlikely to be more than two or three of these.<br />

The choice of summary measure should be guided by what is cl<strong>in</strong>ically or<br />

biologically reasonable and germane to the purpose of the study. Indeed, it is<br />

preferable to def<strong>in</strong>e the summary before the data are collected, as this may help<br />

to focus attention on the purpose of the <strong>in</strong>vestigation and the most appropriate

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