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Statistical Methods in Medical Research 4ed

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234 Comparison of several groups<br />

the standard deviation, then if the variances differ between groups so also will<br />

the mean absolute deviations. Thus the variance ratio test for the equality of<br />

group means is a test of the homogeneity of variances. Carroll & Schneider (1985)<br />

showed that it is preferable to measure the deviations from the group medians to<br />

cope with asymmetric distributions.<br />

8.8 Comparison of several counts: the Poisson<br />

heterogeneity test<br />

Suppose that k counts, denoted by x1, x2, ..., xi, ..., xk are available. It may be<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest<strong>in</strong>g to test whether they could reasonably have been drawn at random<br />

from Poisson distributions with the same (unknown) mean m. In many microbiological<br />

experiments, as we saw <strong>in</strong> §3.7, successive counts may be expected to<br />

follow a Poisson distribution if the experimental technique is perfect. With<br />

imperfect technical methods the counts will follow Poisson distributions with<br />

different means. In bacteriological count<strong>in</strong>g, for example, the suspension may be<br />

<strong>in</strong>adequately mixed, so that cluster<strong>in</strong>g of the organisms occurs; the volumes of<br />

the suspension <strong>in</strong>oculated for the different counts may not be equal; the culture<br />

media may not <strong>in</strong>variably be able to susta<strong>in</strong> growth. In each of these circumstances<br />

heterogeneity of the expected counts is present and is likely to manifest<br />

itself by excessive variability of the observed counts. It seems reasonable, therefore,<br />

to base a test on the sum of squares about the mean of the xi. An<br />

appropriate test statistic is given by<br />

X 2 P 2<br />

…x x†<br />

ˆ , …8:31†<br />

x<br />

which, on the null hypothesis of constant m, is approximately distributed as<br />

x2 …k 1† . The method is variously called the Poisson heterogeneity or dispersion<br />

test.<br />

The formula (8.31) may be justified from two different po<strong>in</strong>ts of view. First, it<br />

is closely related to the test statistic (5.4) used for test<strong>in</strong>g the variance of a normal<br />

distribution. On the present null hypothesis the distribution is Poisson, which we<br />

know is similar to a normal distribution if m is not too small; furthermore,<br />

s2 ˆ m, which can best be estimated from the data by the sample mean x.<br />

Replac<strong>in</strong>g s2 0 by x <strong>in</strong> (5.4) gives (8.31). Secondly, we could argue that, given<br />

the total count P x, the frequency `expected' at the ith count on the null<br />

hypothesis is P x=k ˆ x. Apply<strong>in</strong>g the usual formula for a x2 <strong>in</strong>dex,<br />

P 2<br />

‰…O E† =EŠ, immediately gives (8.31). In fact, just as the Poisson distribution<br />

can be regarded as a limit<strong>in</strong>g form of the b<strong>in</strong>omial for large n and small p, so the<br />

present test can be regarded as a limit<strong>in</strong>g form of the x2 test for the 2 k table<br />

(§8.5) when R=N is very small and all the ni are equal; under these circumstances<br />

it is not difficult to see that (8.29) becomes equivalent to (8.31).

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