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Statistical Methods in Medical Research 4ed

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Table 10.5 Some of the permutations <strong>in</strong> the test of equality of standard<br />

deviation: H and L denote the high- and low-prote<strong>in</strong> groups, respectively.<br />

Change <strong>in</strong><br />

weight (g)<br />

Permutation<br />

Actual<br />

group 2 3 4 ... 50 388<br />

134 H L H H L<br />

146 H H L H L<br />

104 H H H L L<br />

119 H H H H L<br />

124 H H H H L<br />

161 H H H H L<br />

107 H H H H L<br />

83 H H H H H<br />

113 H H H H H<br />

129 H H H H H<br />

97 H H H H H<br />

123 H H H H H<br />

70 L H H H H<br />

118 L L L L H<br />

101 L L L L H<br />

85 L L L L H<br />

107 L L L L H<br />

132 L L L L H<br />

94 L L L L H<br />

Ratio of<br />

SDs<br />

Monte Carlo tests<br />

10.6Permutation and Monte Carlo tests 295<br />

1 037 1 349 1 116 1 653 ... 0 942<br />

The significance level of a permutation test based on a statistic G is found by<br />

comput<strong>in</strong>g G for each of the N permutations allowed under the null hypothesis<br />

and count<strong>in</strong>g the number, M, of these values that are as extreme as, or more<br />

extreme than, the value of G computed from the observed data, Gobs. T he<br />

permutation significance level, Pperm, is then M/N. While conceptually very<br />

attractive, there are often severe practical problems with this approach.<br />

The calculation of the significance level for the permutation test <strong>in</strong> Example<br />

10.8 required the evaluation of the ratio of standard deviations for 50 388<br />

different permutations. For modern comput<strong>in</strong>g mach<strong>in</strong>ery this size of task is<br />

relatively straightforward, but if G were more difficult and time-consum<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

evaluate the task could be more daunt<strong>in</strong>g. Similarly, if N were larger, the number<br />

of permutations could be substantially greater; even with groups only twice the

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