Annual Report 2010 - Verein der Kohlenimporteure eV

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10 Global Production and Economy on a Growth Path On the whole, OECD countries registered above-average growth rates in 2010 compared with 2009, according to estimates. Industrial production increased by 8.2% and gross domestic product (GDP) by approximately 3%. Global GDP growth was estimated at 5%. This development is expected to continue in 2011. The problems in the financial and real estate sectors have not yet been remedied, while unemployment and national debt are on the rise, especially in OECD countries. Economic recovery programmes and the robust development of emerging economies in Asia and in parts of South America could have a positive effect. However, in contrast, the political unrest in MENA states has again led to high oil prices at the beginning of 2011, which could put a damper on economic recovery. Growth Rates of the World Economy (%) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1) Global Industrial Production 3.7 3.0 - 1.1 3.0 13 GDP 5.4 2.9 - 0.5 5.0 4.2 1) HT-W1 Source: Clarkson Research Service 4/2011 World Population Grows to 8.2 Billion in 2030 The key driving force for the expanding world economy and global consumption of energy, leading to rising CO 2 emissions, continues to be increasing global population. It is growing mainly in developing countries. On average, the world’s population increases growth will however not be affected by the economic crisis, because it is taking place in the poorest countries. 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Development of World Population 4.5 28 % 1980 5.3 72 % 76 % 82 % 85 % 24 % 1990 6.9 18 % 2010 8.5 15 % 2035 Industrialized Countries Developing Countries Figure 1 Source IEA Extrapolation of the figures indicates that world the period from 1980 to 2030, i.e. over a span of only 50 years. Over the next 20 years, another 1.4 to 1.6 billion people will be added to the population. But energy consumption is increasing even faster than world population, because specific per capita consumption is rising in addition to the population figures themselves. The increased use of electrical devices and the steady shift from rural to urban populations around the world are causing an additional rise in energy consumption, especially because the specific energy consumption of people living in cities is higher. Developing and emerging countries have an enormous potential to increase energy consumption as they strive to raise their living standards and narrow the gap with industrialised countries. The IEA estimates that 1.4 billion people – more than 20% of the world’s people – approximately 40% of world population – still use traditional biomass (wood) to cook and coal briquettes to heat.
Urbanization and Industrialization Drive Chinese and Indian Coal Demand Pl a nn e d Ur b a ni z a t i o n in I n d i a in M illi o n Pl a nn e d Ur b a ni z a t i o n in China in Million 214 315 +215 1990 2005 2025 1990 2005 2025 Total population in million 839 1106 1401 1149 1307 1435 Urbanization in % 25 29 38 27 41 64 Figure 2 Source: McKinsey 2010 These figures make it clear why emerging and developing countries are currently unable to join Europe’s industrialised countries in achieving the latter’s priorities to save energy and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Satisfying the basic needs of their citizens for food, water, mobility and access to electric power to improve their living standards, even to a modest level, remains their top priority. Global Energy Consumption Increased Again 530 Initial estimates indicate that world energy consumption in 2010 reached the level of 2008. The reason behind 315 572 +354 926 this is the global recovery from the economic crisis, notably in the OECD countries. The Pacific region continued to enjoy economic growth. In addition to the increase of its own energy production, especially China and India made increasing use of energy supplies available from the world market. Oil consumption increased by 4.6% and natural gas hard coal accounting for most of this growth. In 2010, coal (hard coal and lignite) reached a world market share of 32% (total does not include non-hydro renewables) and has continued to be the fastest-growing source of primary energy over the past several years. Primary Energy Consumption - Major Sources of Energy - 2000 Mtce 2008 Mtce Total 13,132 16,151 15,900 16,580 4.3 HT-W2 Source: BP, own estimate for 2010 2009 Mtce 2010 Mtce 2009/2010 Change in % Coal 3,120 4,724 4,900 5,230 6.7 Natural Gas 3,180 3,898 3,700 3,800 2.7 Oil 5,110 5,617 5,400 5,650 4.6 Nuclear 840 886 900 900 0.0 Hydro 882 1,026 1,000 1,000 0.0 11
Page 1 and 2: ANNUAL REPORT 2011 Fakts and Trends
Page 3 and 4: Preamble - Environmentally-friendly
Page 5 and 6: Requirements of an Energy Policy to
Page 7 and 8: Global Economic Overview 21 st Worl
Page 9: caused by the resulting oil spill,
Page 13 and 14: Coal remains the No. 1 source of en
Page 15 and 16: In 2010, hard coal output worldwide
Page 17 and 18: The current estimates of hard coal
Page 19 and 20: of world production was traded inte
Page 21 and 22: approximately 64 million tonnes to
Page 23 and 24: Pig iron production, which is relev
Page 25 and 26: producers and consumers. The contra
Page 27 and 28: driven downturn in 2009, the IEA pr
Page 29 and 30: abate or reduce emissions become mo
Page 31 and 32: for companies participating in the
Page 33 and 34: EU Energy Mix 2010 within Power Gen
Page 35 and 36: 2. The Council still considers that
Page 37 and 38: GERMANY Strong GDP Growth of 3.6% i
Page 39 and 40: Photovoltaics made enormous progres
Page 41 and 42: Strong Market for Hard Coal in 2010
Page 43 and 44: This is what happened during the ye
Page 45 and 46: This stabilised prices and even pus
Page 47 and 48: The future of CDM after 2012 is unc
Page 49 and 50: Energy Concept - Biased Towards Cli
Page 51 and 52: European electricity market, overco
Page 53 and 54: with its extremely ambitious object
Page 55 and 56: Over the course of 2010, coking coa
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Raw Materials 2009 Mt Steel Industr
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therefore has the potential to incr
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COUNTRY REPORTS 2010-2011 AUSTRALIA
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is already being planned and operat
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Mt, allowing vessels of 60,000-180,
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Initial estimates indicate that ope
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2008 Mt 2) 2009 Mt 2) 2010 Mt 2) Ap
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Exports Colombia managed to increas
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2008 Mt 2009 Mt 2010 1) Mt Power Ge
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There has been a major shift in the
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According to information from Vinac
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Infrastructure China’s infrastruc
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Proposed projects include the Ukhaa
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VENEZUELA Production Internal polit
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World-Energy Consumption by Source
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Mill. t (t=t) 2008 2009 2010 Produc
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2008 2009 2010 Coking Coal Steam Co
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Exporting Countries Volatile Ash Mo
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Coke strength Fluidity Contraction
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Hard Coal Export of Indonesia 1,000
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Hard Coal Export of the United Stat
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Hard Coal Export of South Africa 1,
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Hard Coal Export of China 1,000 t I
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Hard Coal Imports of EU-Countries:
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Primary Energy Consumption in Germa
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Hard Coal Sales in Germany 1,000 t
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Steam Coal Coking Coal 2009 2010 An
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Crude Oil Prices European / Interna
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Quantities and Prices 1957 - 2010 Q
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AGEB (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebi
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Member Company Area Code Phone Fax
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Member Company Area Code Phone Fax
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Disclaimer Whilst care has been tak
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