Annual Report 2010 - Verein der Kohlenimporteure eV

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54 and at the end of 2012, with West mine will there be closures. This results in the following production quantities: Presumed Quantities / Production 2010 Mtce 2011 Mtce West 3.0 3.0 Prosper Haniel 3.2 3.2 Auguste Viktoria 3.2 3.2 Ost (closed in 09/2010) 0.2 --- Ensdorf 1.3 0.6 Ibbenbüren 2.0 2.0 Total HT-D20 Source: own evaluation 12.9 12.0 This shows an additional loss in output of another one million tonnes coal equivalent. In the longer term, total hard coal output could develop as shown below: Projected German Hard Coal Production Year Estimate up to 2018 in Mtce 2011 12.0 2012 11.3 Closure of Ensdorf mine 2013 8.0 Closure of West mine 2014 8.0 2015 6.0 2016 6.0 2017 4.0 2018 4.0 HT-D21 Source: own evaluation Prompted by the temporarily high world market prices at the end of 2010, discussions about continuing German hard coal mining operations were again reopened. Assuming average production costs of € 180/tce for German production, the following competitive position for German steam coal was seen during the course of 2010. German production costs are compared with the Comparison of German Steam Coal / Cross-Border Price (BAFA) 2010 01.01.2010 30.06.2010 31.12.2010 Euro/tce Costs German Coal - ex mine 180 180 180 BAFA Price (cross-border price) 75 92 103 Advantage Import Coal HT-D22 105 88 77 These comparisons assume that the costs at German mines remained constant in 2010. Even if the pollution legacy costs of German mining are ignored, the difference is still substantial. This comparison makes it clear that the difference between German steam coal and imported coal over the entire year was very large, calling into question whether indigenous steam coal could ever be competitive on the world market. The prices for imported coking coal from January to than German production costs. €/t 250,00 200,00 150,00 100,00 50,00 0,00 German Cross Border Prices for Figure 27 Source: Several evaluations Jan 09 Mar May July Sep Nov Jan 10 Mar May July Sep Nov
Over the course of 2010, coking coal import prices rose steadily up to €185/t in November 2010. This reflected rising demand for coking coal worldwide, which became very noticeable during the second half of the year. High prices can also be expected in 2011. Overall, it can be stated that world market prices for coking coal are significantly closer to the average production costs in Germany than is the case for steam coal. Renewables on the Rise – start-up support for new technologies grows to a massive, permanent public subsidy The share of renewable energies in total final energy consumption rose further to 10.5% in 2010 owing to the generous subsidy and priority feed-in under the EEG (German Act on Renewable Energy Sources). Renewable energies accounted for (provisional): primary energy demand, and Primary Energy Consumption / Renewable Energies by Sectors 2008 Mtce 2009 Mtce 2010 Mtce Electricity 21.3 21.8 24.5 Heating 13.3 14.5 16.2 Fuels 4.5 4.0 4.3 Total HT-D23 Source: AGEB 39.1 40.3 45.0 Renewable Energies: Germany’s Unilateral Action Results in a Heavy Burden for its Citizens – With no Despite the installed capacity for wind power increased by 5.5% or 1,551 MW, and in photovoltaics increased wind dropped by about 5.5%. So, power generation from renewable energy sources from wind stagnated. Nevertheless, because of the priority feed-in, the absolute share produced from renewables increased, especially due to the rapid hike of solar power plants. With a functional EU Emissions Trading Scheme to protect the climate, the EEG (Renewable Energy Sources Act) no longer makes sense. In fact, its effects run counter to emissions trading. The support for “green electricity” in Germany reduces energy production from fossil sources of energy and releases CO 2 certificates for trading. So, the price for the CO 2 certificates falls. Other EU countries can then produce more cheaper electricity from fossil fuels. German consumers end up subsidising fossil energy production in the EU and around the world. The effect on the climate is virtually nil. Emissions trading in Europe achieves almost nothing in terms of global climate improvement. Although it reduces the demand for fossil fuels in Europe and makes their use more expensive, it does nothing to reduce the worldwide use of fossil fuels. Unless an international CO 2 trading system is established and a global climate protection treaty is concluded, German and European efforts are doomed to failure and are an unnecessary expense for taxpayers. 55
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ANNUAL REPORT 2011 Fakts and Trends
Page 3 and 4: Preamble - Environmentally-friendly
Page 5 and 6: Requirements of an Energy Policy to
Page 7 and 8: Global Economic Overview 21 st Worl
Page 9 and 10: caused by the resulting oil spill,
Page 11 and 12: Urbanization and Industrialization
Page 13 and 14: Coal remains the No. 1 source of en
Page 15 and 16: In 2010, hard coal output worldwide
Page 17 and 18: The current estimates of hard coal
Page 19 and 20: of world production was traded inte
Page 21 and 22: approximately 64 million tonnes to
Page 23 and 24: Pig iron production, which is relev
Page 25 and 26: producers and consumers. The contra
Page 27 and 28: driven downturn in 2009, the IEA pr
Page 29 and 30: abate or reduce emissions become mo
Page 31 and 32: for companies participating in the
Page 33 and 34: EU Energy Mix 2010 within Power Gen
Page 35 and 36: 2. The Council still considers that
Page 37 and 38: GERMANY Strong GDP Growth of 3.6% i
Page 39 and 40: Photovoltaics made enormous progres
Page 41 and 42: Strong Market for Hard Coal in 2010
Page 43 and 44: This is what happened during the ye
Page 45 and 46: This stabilised prices and even pus
Page 47 and 48: The future of CDM after 2012 is unc
Page 49 and 50: Energy Concept - Biased Towards Cli
Page 51 and 52: European electricity market, overco
Page 53: with its extremely ambitious object
Page 57 and 58: the necessary investment in solar e
Page 59 and 60: advantage of Germany’s export tra
Page 61 and 62: Raw Materials 2009 Mt Steel Industr
Page 63 and 64: therefore has the potential to incr
Page 65 and 66: COUNTRY REPORTS 2010-2011 AUSTRALIA
Page 67 and 68: is already being planned and operat
Page 69 and 70: Mt, allowing vessels of 60,000-180,
Page 71 and 72: Initial estimates indicate that ope
Page 73 and 74: 2008 Mt 2) 2009 Mt 2) 2010 Mt 2) Ap
Page 75 and 76: Exports Colombia managed to increas
Page 77 and 78: 2008 Mt 2009 Mt 2010 1) Mt Power Ge
Page 79 and 80: There has been a major shift in the
Page 81 and 82: According to information from Vinac
Page 83 and 84: Infrastructure China’s infrastruc
Page 85 and 86: Proposed projects include the Ukhaa
Page 87 and 88: VENEZUELA Production Internal polit
Page 89 and 90: World-Energy Consumption by Source
Page 91 and 92: Mill. t (t=t) 2008 2009 2010 Produc
Page 93 and 94: 2008 2009 2010 Coking Coal Steam Co
Page 95 and 96: Exporting Countries Volatile Ash Mo
Page 97 and 98: Coke strength Fluidity Contraction
Page 99 and 100: Hard Coal Export of Indonesia 1,000
Page 101 and 102: Hard Coal Export of the United Stat
Page 103 and 104: Hard Coal Export of South Africa 1,
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Hard Coal Export of China 1,000 t I
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Hard Coal Imports of EU-Countries:
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Primary Energy Consumption in Germa
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Hard Coal Sales in Germany 1,000 t
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Steam Coal Coking Coal 2009 2010 An
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Crude Oil Prices European / Interna
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Quantities and Prices 1957 - 2010 Q
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AGEB (Arbeitsgemeinschaft Energiebi
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Member Company Area Code Phone Fax
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Member Company Area Code Phone Fax
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Disclaimer Whilst care has been tak
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