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A Measure ofExpediency 35<br />
the expense! Thus, enormous sums of money that normally were in<br />
circulation were now locked up in bank vaults all over the country. How<br />
to loosen up the flow ofthis cash was the monetary problem that Senator<br />
Aldrich hoped to solve by his bill.<br />
Such was the theoretical argument and situation, and at the time the<br />
available banking statistics were too limited to permit a critical analysis<br />
ofthe case. Subsequent studies made by the National Monetary Commission<br />
indicated that the so-called country bank absorption ofcash was less<br />
significant than it appeared at the time. Thus, the Commission tabulated<br />
the weekly movement of money from the interior into, and out of, New<br />
York City banks for the years 1899 through 1909. The figures showed<br />
that the movement was normally inward throughout the year, except for<br />
the months ofSeptember through November and the first halfofDecember.<br />
The weekly movement ranged between $1 1/2 million and $6 million.<br />
This pattern was broken in 1906 when a heavy withdrawal by interior<br />
banks occurred in the latter part of April and the early part of May,<br />
coincident with the stock market decline of that year, with $42 million<br />
going out in two weeks, and with the drain persisting until the end of the<br />
month. Thereafter an inward movement resumed until the fall withdrawals<br />
began-this year somewhat earlier, beginning the first week in August.<br />
The spring of 1907 saw a resumption of interior withdrawals, though<br />
neither heavy nor consistent, and a renewal of an inward movement<br />
beginning in May and continuing, with some breaks in August, until the<br />
first week ofSeptember. The movements remained modest, however, but<br />
nevertheless inward, until the stock market crash, the first tremors of<br />
which began on October 16. Thereafter, between October 18 and the end<br />
of the year, New York City bank balances were drawn down by interior<br />
banks to the extent Of$124 million. With the New Year, however, a heavy<br />
return movement of funds began and $68 million was recovered by the<br />
end ofJanuary.*<br />
During the three years 1905-1907, the net annual outward movement<br />
of funds to the interior had been $37 million, $85 million, and $106<br />
million, respectively. In 1908 the movement abruptly reversed and the<br />
net inward flow accumulated to the amount of $156 million by the year<br />
end.<br />
A further item illuminating the nature of the October crash was the<br />
*National Monetary Commission, Vol. XXI, Statistics for U. S. pp. 229 ff. It should be<br />
noted that this inward movement reflected a restoration ofconfidence in the banking system<br />
just as the similar indices in 1932 showed a revival ofconfidence and trade well before any<br />
new legislation or administrative reforms had been enacted or even agreed upon.