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Livelihood Security: Climate change, conflict and migration in - UNEP

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erde<br />

de<br />

25°0'N<br />

20°0'N<br />

15°0'N<br />

10°0'N<br />

5°0'N<br />

0°0'<br />

Dakar<br />

Map Canary Isl<strong>and</strong>s 5. Conflict occurrences<br />

Sa<strong>in</strong>t-Louis !<br />

T h e<br />

G a m b i a<br />

Nouakchott<br />

" !<br />

!<br />

!<br />

!<br />

!<br />

!<br />

!<br />

!<br />

! ! !<br />

"<br />

!<br />

"<br />

!<br />

" !<br />

!<br />

" !<br />

!<br />

"<br />

!<br />

! Thies<br />

"<br />

Diourbel<br />

Kayes<br />

Mopti<br />

Mbour Kaolack<br />

Z<strong>in</strong>der<br />

Serre Kunda<br />

Niamey<br />

Banjul<br />

Ségou<br />

Maradi<br />

!<br />

"<br />

Sokoto<br />

Bamako<br />

Zigu<strong>in</strong>chor<br />

Kats<strong>in</strong>a<br />

"<br />

Ouagadougou<br />

"<br />

Gusau<br />

Bissau<br />

Kano<br />

!<br />

G u i n e a -<br />

B i s s a u<br />

Map 5 identifies the location of <strong>conflict</strong>s <strong>in</strong> the<br />

region for the period 1946 to 2005. This map uses<br />

the Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) <strong>and</strong> the<br />

Centre for the Study of Civil War (CSCW) “<strong>conflict</strong> site”<br />

database, draw<strong>in</strong>g on the Uppsala Conflict Data<br />

Project. The Data Project def<strong>in</strong>es armed <strong>conflict</strong><br />

as “a contested <strong>in</strong>compatibility that results <strong>in</strong> at<br />

least 25 battle-related deaths.” Conflict zones are<br />

established based on coord<strong>in</strong>ates for the location<br />

of the <strong>conflict</strong>, <strong>and</strong> a radius of area that estimates<br />

the extent of the <strong>conflict</strong>.<br />

A limitation of this map, however, is its exclusion of<br />

small-scale localized <strong>conflict</strong>s that occur between<br />

<strong>and</strong> among livelihood groups, which are of particular<br />

<strong>in</strong>terest to this study. Indeed, these small-scale<br />

<strong>conflict</strong>s are often the first to occur <strong>in</strong> relation to<br />

<strong>change</strong>s <strong>in</strong> environmental factors susta<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g livelihoods.<br />

Detailed data on small-scale <strong>conflict</strong>s <strong>in</strong><br />

the region has not been systematically collected<br />

to date, though efforts are now be<strong>in</strong>g made to<br />

compile these <strong>in</strong>cidents. The Social Conflict <strong>in</strong> Africa<br />

26<br />

" !<br />

15°0'W<br />

W a d i Khatt Atoui<br />

S e n e g a l<br />

15°0'W<br />

Saloum<br />

Conakry<br />

C a p e V e r d e<br />

Gambia<br />

" !<br />

Freetown<br />

S e neg a l<br />

" !<br />

!<br />

Praia Scale: 1:7,000,000<br />

0 50<br />

km<br />

100<br />

M a u r i t a n i a<br />

Gu<strong>in</strong>ea<br />

Sierra Leone<br />

Sewa<br />

Ba f <strong>in</strong> g<br />

Monrovia<br />

" !<br />

Niger<br />

Agadir<br />

10°0'W<br />

B akoy<br />

Liberia<br />

Safi<br />

Marrakesh<br />

Nuo n<br />

Cavally<br />

Sass<strong>and</strong>ra<br />

Morocco<br />

Bani<br />

Sikasso<br />

!<br />

B<strong>and</strong>ama Blanc<br />

5°0'W<br />

Côte d'Ivoire<br />

B lack Volta<br />

Bobo Dioulasso<br />

!<br />

Komoe<br />

Niger<br />

0 250<br />

500<br />

km<br />

1.000<br />

10°0'W<br />

Black Volta<br />

M a l i<br />

White Volta<br />

B u r k i n a F a s o<br />

!<br />

Tamale<br />

Wadi Tamanrasset<br />

Niger<br />

Vallée de l'Azaouak<br />

Arlit<br />

!<br />

Agadez<br />

!<br />

Kaduna<br />

"<br />

Jos<br />

"<br />

M<strong>in</strong>na<br />

!<br />

Abuja<br />

!<br />

Bouaké<br />

"<br />

Koss ou<br />

Res ervoir<br />

!<br />

Yamoussoukro<br />

Abidjan<br />

"<br />

Ghana<br />

La ke<br />

Kumasi<br />

Volta<br />

"<br />

Ashiaman<br />

!<br />

" !<br />

Accra<br />

!<br />

Takoradi<br />

"<br />

Isey<strong>in</strong> !<br />

Oshogbo<br />

Makurdi<br />

" Ede "<br />

!<br />

! " Ado Okene<br />

! ! !<br />

!<br />

Iwo<br />

"<br />

Abomey<br />

" !<br />

Ibadan<br />

Ife<br />

! Ilesha Akure<br />

! !<br />

"<br />

!<br />

!<br />

Ikire<br />

Abeokuta<br />

Owo<br />

Cotonou Lagos<br />

Ondo<br />

! Ikorodu<br />

Enugu<br />

!<br />

"<br />

"<br />

"<br />

" Ben<strong>in</strong><br />

" !<br />

"<br />

Porto-Novo<br />

Onitsha<br />

Bamenda<br />

Lomé<br />

!<br />

Warri Umuahia<br />

" !<br />

!<br />

Aba Ikot Ekpene<br />

" !<br />

Bafoussam<br />

Port Harcourt<br />

"<br />

" Calabar<br />

1<br />

Douala<br />

B<strong>and</strong>ama<br />

La ke<br />

Fa guib<strong>in</strong>e<br />

5°0'W<br />

Red Volta<br />

0°0'<br />

0°0'<br />

Vallée d u Tilemsi<br />

Oti<br />

Volta<br />

Togo<br />

Atlantic Ocean<br />

Ben<strong>in</strong><br />

Algeria<br />

W a di Bosso<br />

Ogbomosho<br />

5°0'E<br />

Wadi Irharrhar<br />

Wad i Tam anrasset<br />

Ka<strong>in</strong>ji<br />

La ke<br />

5°0'E<br />

Niger<br />

Zaria<br />

"<br />

Nigeria<br />

Cross<br />

Equatorial<br />

Gu<strong>in</strong>ea<br />

Sao Tome <strong>and</strong><br />

Pr<strong>in</strong>cipe<br />

Malabo<br />

Tunisia<br />

!<br />

Wadi Tafassasset<br />

N i g e r<br />

Katsi n a Ala<br />

Wadi Tegouma<br />

Conflict data: PRIO-CSCW (1970-2005)<br />

Scale (ma<strong>in</strong> map): 1:17,000,000 for DIN A4 pr<strong>in</strong>ts<br />

" ! Background vector data: ESRI; FAO GeoNetwork; GAUL; GRUMP (alpha) Reference system: Geographic coord<strong>in</strong>ates<br />

Background satellite data: NASA Blue Marble (2001)<br />

Datum: World Geodetic System 1984 (WGS 84)<br />

Database produced by the Robert S. Strauss Center<br />

for International <strong>Security</strong> <strong>and</strong> Law90 K<strong>in</strong>shasa<br />

K<strong>in</strong>shasa<br />

Brazzaville<br />

Po<strong>in</strong>te Noire<br />

Cab<strong>in</strong>da<br />

Boma has compiled<br />

a list of social <strong>conflict</strong>s that have occurred <strong>in</strong> Africa<br />

s<strong>in</strong>ce 1990. This data has been generated by gather<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Associated Press <strong>and</strong> Agence France Presse<br />

news wires on events such as strikes, protests, riots,<br />

<strong>and</strong> outbreak of violence. The database further<br />

specifies topics of unrest, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g food, water<br />

<strong>and</strong> environmental degradation. While this project<br />

has begun the process of systematically collect<strong>in</strong>g<br />

<strong>in</strong>formation on social <strong>conflict</strong>s, it is currently limited<br />

to those tensions that receive <strong>in</strong>ternational media<br />

attention. As such, this database is not necessarily a<br />

comprehensive list<strong>in</strong>g of small-scale social <strong>conflict</strong>s<br />

<strong>and</strong> tensions relat<strong>in</strong>g to natural resources.<br />

Small-scale <strong>conflict</strong>s among <strong>in</strong>dividuals <strong>and</strong><br />

groups who depend on natural resources for their<br />

livelihoods are a consequence of several factors<br />

that relate to access, control <strong>and</strong> ownership of<br />

l<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> natural resources. These factors <strong>in</strong>clude:<br />

unclear l<strong>and</strong> tenure systems, demographic growth,<br />

<strong>Livelihood</strong> <strong>Security</strong>: <strong>Climate</strong> Change, Migration <strong>and</strong> Conflict <strong>in</strong> the Sahel<br />

10°0'E<br />

Bauchi<br />

!<br />

"<br />

Ogooué<br />

B enue<br />

Sanaga<br />

Equatorial<br />

Gu<strong>in</strong>ea<br />

!<br />

Damaturu<br />

Gombe Mubi<br />

!<br />

!<br />

" !<br />

6 - 10<br />

Yaoundé<br />

11 - 25<br />

Wadi Dillia<br />

Komadugu Gana<br />

!<br />

Jimeta<br />

Base map<br />

Sanaga<br />

"<br />

Maiduguri<br />

Garoua<br />

"<br />

Cameroon<br />

Ngaoundéré<br />

!<br />

Iv <strong>in</strong> d o<br />

Tripoli<br />

D ja<br />

" !<br />

!<br />

Maroua<br />

Libya<br />

Moundou<br />

!<br />

Bahr el Ghazal<br />

Bahr Salamat<br />

Sarh<br />

!<br />

" > 1,000,000<br />

" > 500,000 - 1,000,000<br />

! > 250,000 - 500,000<br />

Bertoua<br />

! ! > 100,000 - 250,000 (CILSS)<br />

Bangui<br />

" !<br />

Bangui<br />

! < 100,000 (capitals)<br />

Congo<br />

C h a d<br />

Wa di Te li Basal<br />

Wadi H aw ach<br />

Central African Republic<br />

Map description:<br />

Map production:<br />

Gabon<br />

Map gives an overview of the location of the CILSS (Permanent Inter-State Centre for Geo<strong>in</strong>formatics (Z_GIS),<br />

Committee for Drought Control <strong>in</strong> the Sahel) member states.<br />

University of Salzburg, Austria, October 2010<br />

O gooue<br />

al-Aziziyah<br />

CILSS member states<br />

Dja<br />

Misratah<br />

N'Djamena<br />

Ngoko<br />

Alim a<br />

Congo<br />

Sang h a<br />

Oubangui (Ubangi)<br />

Giri<br />

Congo<br />

Giri<br />

Giri<br />

Congo Congo<br />

Congo<br />

Congo<br />

Ikele m b a<br />

Ruki<br />

Benghazi<br />

C ongo<br />

Lulonga<br />

Oubangui (Ubangi)<br />

Data sources: Cartographic <strong>in</strong>formation:<br />

Libreville<br />

10°0'E<br />

Iv<strong>in</strong>do<br />

15°0'E<br />

La ke<br />

Chad<br />

Alima<br />

15°0'E<br />

Ch a ri<br />

Logone<br />

Areas affected by <strong>conflict</strong> Major urban centres<br />

(≥ 25 battle deaths)<br />

Number of <strong>conflict</strong>s<br />

2 - 5<br />

26 - 55<br />

Dakar Capitals<br />

CILSS countries<br />

Sang h a<br />

Congo<br />

O uham<br />

20°0'E<br />

L<strong>and</strong> cover<br />

Major wadis (non-perennial)<br />

B usira<br />

20°0'E<br />

Congo<br />

Lopori<br />

Mar<strong>in</strong>ga<br />

Major rivers (perennial)<br />

Waterbodies<br />

Vegetation<br />

Bare l<strong>and</strong><br />

Congo<br />

Salon ga<br />

Bolombo<br />

Yekokora<br />

Tshuapa<br />

Lomela<br />

Salonga<br />

Kananga<br />

Itimb iri<br />

Mar<strong>in</strong>ga<br />

Tshuapa<br />

Lomela<br />

Zaire<br />

Itimbiri<br />

Congo<br />

Mbuji-Mayi<br />

´<br />

Congo<br />

25°0'N<br />

20°0'N<br />

15°0'N<br />

"<br />

10°0'N<br />

5°0'N<br />

U ele<br />

0°0'<br />

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