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A systematic review and economic model of the effectiveness and ...

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126<br />

Discussion<br />

impact <strong>of</strong> active drug treatment on participant<br />

weight loss/gain.<br />

The analysis <strong>of</strong> adverse events was focused on <strong>the</strong><br />

most commonly reported complaints <strong>of</strong> individuals<br />

receiving treatment for ADHD, which were identified<br />

by examining previous literature. Several studies<br />

presented mean severity ratings for adverse events<br />

without accompanying data indicating <strong>the</strong> numbers<br />

<strong>of</strong> participants actually suffering from such effects,<br />

thus making adverse impact difficult to quantify.<br />

Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, a distinction between numbers <strong>of</strong><br />

adverse events <strong>and</strong> numbers <strong>of</strong> participants suffering<br />

from adverse events was <strong>of</strong>ten not clearly stated.<br />

Total numbers <strong>of</strong> participants included in safety<br />

analyses were <strong>of</strong>ten unclear, requiring assumptions to<br />

be made which could have underestimated effect<br />

sizes. Measures <strong>of</strong> variance were not always reported,<br />

making calculation <strong>of</strong> relative risks impossible.<br />

Although st<strong>and</strong>ardised reporting was employed by<br />

many authors, some studies appeared to rely upon<br />

spontaneous reporting <strong>of</strong> somatic complaints, which<br />

may also have introduced considerable bias into <strong>the</strong><br />

results. Some trials reported <strong>the</strong> mean weights <strong>of</strong><br />

participants across treatment groups at follow-up<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r than mean weight change; for crossover trials,<br />

this information was not informative owing to <strong>the</strong><br />

likelihood <strong>of</strong> carryover effects.<br />

Overall, higher dosages <strong>of</strong> IR-MPH appear to be<br />

associated with <strong>the</strong> occurrence <strong>of</strong> headache, loss <strong>of</strong><br />

appetite, stomach ache <strong>and</strong> insomnia compared<br />

with placebo. ER-MPH appears to be associated<br />

with decreased appetite <strong>and</strong> increased insomnia.<br />

However, a <strong>systematic</strong> <strong>review</strong> 114 highlighted <strong>the</strong><br />

need for fur<strong>the</strong>r research into somatic complaints,<br />

which may be associated with <strong>the</strong> disorder itself<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r than MPH treatment. Similarly, high doses<br />

<strong>of</strong> DEX appear to be associated with decreased<br />

appetite <strong>and</strong> increased sleeping problems. ATX <strong>of</strong><br />

any dose may impair appetite.<br />

As previously highlighted, head-to-head<br />

comparisons have not <strong>of</strong>ten been examined <strong>and</strong>,<br />

toge<strong>the</strong>r with poor reporting <strong>of</strong> adverse events<br />

outcomes, data are very sparse. One study<br />

comparing immediate- <strong>and</strong> extended-release<br />

formulations <strong>of</strong> MPH reported a higher<br />

occurrence <strong>of</strong> headache in <strong>the</strong> latter group. No<br />

statistically significant differences in adverse<br />

events were detected in <strong>the</strong> studies comparing<br />

MPH with DEX. However, participants assigned to<br />

ER-MPH were found to suffer from decreased<br />

appetite <strong>and</strong> increased insomnia compared with<br />

those assigned to ATX.<br />

No studies compared ATX with DEX.<br />

Economic evidence<br />

This <strong>review</strong> presents a comprehensive overview <strong>of</strong><br />

existing <strong>economic</strong> evaluations <strong>of</strong> MPH, ATX <strong>and</strong><br />

DEX for children <strong>and</strong> adolescents with ADHD,<br />

including three submissions from manufacturers <strong>of</strong><br />

<strong>the</strong>se medications. The <strong>review</strong> highlighted a<br />

number <strong>of</strong> potential limitations in <strong>the</strong> existing<br />

literature. In particular, <strong>the</strong> <strong>review</strong> highlighted<br />

limitations in estimating treatment <strong>effectiveness</strong><br />

<strong>and</strong> associated utility values. These limitations<br />

may stem from a lack <strong>of</strong> available data.<br />

A new <strong>economic</strong> <strong>model</strong> was developed for this<br />

report. Pooling was limited in <strong>the</strong> clinical<br />

<strong>effectiveness</strong> <strong>review</strong>, owing to heterogeneity<br />

between trials. However, some degree <strong>of</strong> pooling is<br />

necessary to proceed with an <strong>economic</strong> <strong>model</strong>.<br />

The issue <strong>of</strong> heterogeneity was overcome by basing<br />

<strong>the</strong> base case on trials that are more similar in<br />

terms <strong>of</strong> how <strong>the</strong>y measure <strong>the</strong> outcome <strong>of</strong><br />

interest. In a series <strong>of</strong> sensitivity analyses, more<br />

trials were included by relaxing <strong>the</strong> criterion <strong>of</strong><br />

similarity in outcome measurement. Data on<br />

resource use associated with ADHD in <strong>the</strong> UK<br />

were lacking, so <strong>the</strong> <strong>model</strong> relies on estimates<br />

from experts.<br />

Given <strong>the</strong> lack <strong>of</strong> available evidence for statistically<br />

significant differences in efficacy between <strong>the</strong><br />

alternative drugs, <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>economic</strong><br />

<strong>model</strong> were largely driven by drug cost, in which<br />

<strong>the</strong>re are marked differences. For a decision taken<br />

now, with current available data, <strong>the</strong> results <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>economic</strong> evaluation clearly identified an optimal<br />

treatment strategy, that is, first-line DEX, followed<br />

by second-line IR-MPH for treatment failures,<br />

followed by third-line ATX for repeat treatment<br />

failures. If DEX is considered not suitable as a<br />

first-line <strong>the</strong>rapy, <strong>the</strong> optimal strategy is first-line<br />

IR-MPH, followed by second-line DEX, <strong>and</strong> thirdline<br />

ATX. For patients contraindicated to<br />

stimulants, ATX is preferred to no treatment. For<br />

patients in whom a midday dose <strong>of</strong> medication is<br />

unworkable, ER-MPH is preferred to ATX, <strong>and</strong><br />

ER-MPH12 appears more cost-effective than ER-<br />

MPH8.<br />

The <strong>model</strong> is not without limitations. As identified<br />

in <strong>the</strong> clinical <strong>effectiveness</strong> <strong>review</strong>, <strong>the</strong> reporting <strong>of</strong><br />

studies was poor, <strong>the</strong>re are few data to<br />

discriminate between <strong>the</strong> drugs in efficacy or<br />

adverse events <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong>re are few data on longterm<br />

efficacy <strong>and</strong> adverse events associated with<br />

medical management <strong>of</strong> ADHD. The data do not<br />

allow discrimination between patients with ADHD<br />

in terms <strong>of</strong> ADHD subtype, age, gender or

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