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novel approaches to expression and detection of oestrus in dairy cows

novel approaches to expression and detection of oestrus in dairy cows

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The <strong>in</strong>teraction between parity <strong>and</strong> milk yield were then analysed for the<br />

comb<strong>in</strong>ed effect on activity at <strong>oestrus</strong> us<strong>in</strong>g GLMM. The result<strong>in</strong>g model<br />

was:<br />

Y ijk = µ + MY i + P j + C k + ε ijk<br />

where Y ijk is activity at <strong>oestrus</strong>,<br />

the fixed part <strong>of</strong> the model consists <strong>of</strong><br />

µ the overall mean,<br />

MY i the effect <strong>of</strong> milk yield; at <strong>oestrus</strong>, daily average <strong>and</strong> cumulative yield,<br />

P j the effect <strong>of</strong> parity<br />

C k the r<strong>and</strong>om effect <strong>of</strong> Cow, <strong>and</strong><br />

ε ijk the residual error.<br />

2.2.3.1 Statistical Analysis <strong>of</strong> Successful Conception<br />

The effect <strong>of</strong> activity on the probability <strong>of</strong> conception was analysed us<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

B<strong>in</strong>omial model with logit l<strong>in</strong>k function. Activity was analysed as part <strong>of</strong> the<br />

fixed model, with cow number <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> the r<strong>and</strong>om model. Pregnancy<br />

(classified as 1 = pregnant <strong>and</strong> 0 = not pregnant) was analysed as the<br />

response variate with <strong>in</strong>sem<strong>in</strong>ation (1 = yes <strong>in</strong>sem<strong>in</strong>ated) <strong>in</strong>cluded as the<br />

b<strong>in</strong>omial <strong>to</strong>tals. All <strong>in</strong>sem<strong>in</strong>ated <strong>cows</strong> were <strong>in</strong>cluded <strong>in</strong> analysis.<br />

2.3 RESULTS<br />

The results reported <strong>in</strong> this section are the significant associations between<br />

activity <strong>and</strong> the cow fac<strong>to</strong>rs discussed <strong>in</strong> Table 2.1. Maximum activity at<br />

<strong>oestrus</strong> ranged from 26 <strong>to</strong> 150, averag<strong>in</strong>g 68 activity units. Percentage<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> activity at <strong>oestrus</strong> ranged from 31 <strong>to</strong> 200%, averag<strong>in</strong>g 87%.<br />

However, the maximum <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> activity at <strong>oestrus</strong> was not the biggest<br />

percentage <strong>in</strong>crease from basel<strong>in</strong>e. This was also the same for the<br />

m<strong>in</strong>imum activity <strong>in</strong>crease at <strong>oestrus</strong>, where this was not the smallest<br />

percentage <strong>in</strong>crease from basel<strong>in</strong>e. The correlation between percentage<br />

<strong>in</strong>crease from basel<strong>in</strong>e <strong>and</strong> maximum activity at <strong>oestrus</strong> was r=0.57,<br />

show<strong>in</strong>g a moderate positive correlation.<br />

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