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rp21 situational analysis - Pacific Health Voices

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Situational <strong>analysis</strong> of drug and alcohol issues and responses in the <strong>Pacific</strong><br />

152<br />

Demographics<br />

The estimated population of Timor-Leste is<br />

2.1 million, 723 comprising an Austronesian<br />

(Malayo-Polynesian) majority, Papuans and<br />

a small Chinese minority. 724 It is estimated<br />

that 98 per cent of the population is Roman<br />

Catholic, with only small numbers of Muslims<br />

and Protestants. 725 Like many of the PICTs,<br />

Timor-Leste has a young population, with<br />

almost 40 per cent aged 14 years or under. 726<br />

In addition, Timor-Leste has a high rate of<br />

population growth at around 4 per cent per<br />

annum 727 and, in contrast to other PICTs,<br />

there is little evidence of the same level of<br />

population mobility. It is not a beneficiary<br />

under any of the <strong>Pacific</strong> regional seasonal<br />

migration schemes. 728<br />

Government<br />

The unicameral National Parliament is<br />

comprised of between 52 to 65 seats with<br />

members elected by popular vote to serve<br />

five-year terms. The most recent elections<br />

were held in 2007 and the next are planned<br />

for 2012. 729 The leader of the majority party<br />

or majority coalition is appointed as Prime<br />

Minister by the President. 730 The violence and<br />

unrest of April–May 2006 are indicative of<br />

the challenges still ahead for Timor-Leste<br />

on many fronts and are likely to affect the<br />

capacity to develop a national-level response<br />

to substance use issues.<br />

<strong>Health</strong> and development<br />

Timor-Leste remains one of the poorest<br />

countries in the Asia–<strong>Pacific</strong> region, ranking<br />

158 out of 179 countries worldwide according<br />

to the 2008 UNDP Human Development<br />

Index. 731 In addition, it ranks low on other<br />

key indicators such as life expectancy, literacy<br />

and GDP per capita. The economy remains<br />

vulnerable, with notable contractions<br />

and negative growth related to the departure<br />

of international personnel in 2002 and violence<br />

in 2006. 732 The absence of adequate<br />

infrastructure and skills represents a challenge<br />

to investment and development, with<br />

the World Bank ranking Timor 170 of 181<br />

nations in its Doing Business report. 733<br />

723 MDGMonitor: Tracking the Millenium Development Goals, available at:<br />

(accessed April 2009).<br />

724 Profile on Timor-Leste in CIA, The World Factbook, available at: (accessed November 2008).<br />

725 Ibid.<br />

726 Ibid.<br />

727 Above, fn.721.<br />

728 International Organization for Migration, available at: <br />

(accessed April 2009).<br />

729 Above, fn.724.<br />

730 Ibid.<br />

731 Above, fn.721.<br />

732 Ibid.<br />

733 Ibid.

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