Growth of Scarborough Study - Scarborough Borough Council

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Figure 4-4: Change in population base by age-bands between 1991 and 2001 (Source: 1991 and 2001 Census data, NOMIS) Change in local demographic profile (1991 - 2001) 30.0% 20.0% % change between 1991 and 2001 10.0% 0.0% -10.0% 0 - 9 years 10 - 19 years 20 - 29 years 30 - 39 years 40 - 49 years 50 - 59 years 60 - 74 years 75 years and above TOTAL -20.0% -30.0% Age bands England Yorkshire and the Humber Scarborough Borough Scarborough Town The higher than average and increasing incidence of 50+ population base within the wider Borough has some implications on the low economic activity levels in the Borough. Although, the Town has also witnessed an increase in people aged 50 years and above, the rate of growth has been slower than that observed by the Borough. The 10-19 and 30-39 year olds have also strengthened at a faster rate in Scarborough Town compared to the wider Borough. The opening up of the University of Hull Scarborough Campus may be responsible for the growth of this age group. However, lack of attractive employment opportunities for the younger, dynamic and more skilled graduates could be one of the key reasons for a significant decline in the younger (particularly 20-29 year olds) age groups. Continuing such a trend in the future may further worsen Scarborough’s performance on the wealth creation front. The rise in older age groups and decline in younger population base suggests an ageing population in the Borough. Similar demographic change, particularly for the older age groups, indicates an ageing nature of the town’s population too. However the strengthening of some younger age groups within the town has had a balancing affect on its population. 4.3 Economic activity 4.3.1 The efficiency of Scarborough’s labour market when analysed in terms of economic activity rates (calculated as a percentage of 16+ resident population) appears to be very poor in relative terms. With a resident population of 106,240 and an economically active population of 46,000, Scarborough’s labour market is relatively small and has failed to grow in the recent past. Doc No CBHABG000/3 Rev: 0 Date: May 2005 20 C:\Documents and Settings\SpracklenA\My Documents\Projects\Scarborough growth study\Final Report\Final Report FINAL.doc
Figure 4-5: Economic Activity Levels 1999 and 2004 (Source: Labour Force Survey, NOMIS) Economic Activity (1999 - 2004) 64.0% 62.0% % of 16+ resident population economically active 60.0% 58.0% 56.0% 54.0% 52.0% 50.0% 1999/2000 2000/2001 2001/2002 2002/2003 2003/2004 Time line Scarborough Yorkshire and the Humber England 4.3.2 Additionally, full-time employment within the Borough has actually declined between 1998 and 2003. Understandably, participation levels of Scarborough’s labour market in part-time employment have increased from 24% in Q4 2002 to 28% in Q3 2004. With an economically active workforce of 46,000 individuals and some 40,000 jobs available locally, suggests some level of out-commuting to seek employment. In addition, lack of enough employment opportunities for a relatively low skills base and an ageing workforce may suggest that people withdraw from the labour market. Such trends have consequently resulted in downward trends in economic activity levels of Scarborough’s workforce. Doc No CBHABG000/3 Rev: 0 Date: May 2005 21 C:\Documents and Settings\SpracklenA\My Documents\Projects\Scarborough growth study\Final Report\Final Report FINAL.doc
Page 1 and 2: Scarborough Borough Council Scarbor
Page 3 and 4: Scarborough Borough Council Scarbor
Page 5: 6.3 Strategic North/South Links 43
Page 8 and 9: Scarborough Borough Council. The re
Page 10 and 11: 2 Overview of key issues 2.1 Consul
Page 12 and 13: elative to other regional and sub-r
Page 14 and 15: domains. Concentrations of deprivat
Page 16 and 17: social inclusion and economic devel
Page 18 and 19: (b) Existing urban potential of Sca
Page 20 and 21: 3.3.4 Examination of the Environmen
Page 22 and 23: 4 Economic capacity 4.1 Introductio
Page 24 and 25: Figure 4-2: Change in population be
Page 28 and 29: Figure 4-6: Unemployment levels 200
Page 30 and 31: Figure 4-8: Change in employment be
Page 32 and 33: working could improve the prospects
Page 34 and 35: the sectors, namely McCain Foods (f
Page 36 and 37: 4.6 Business base 4.6.1 Driven by S
Page 38 and 39: Figure 4-11: Business Formation Rat
Page 40 and 41: 4.7.5 On the demand side, the repor
Page 42 and 43: 4.8.2 In terms of rents, the commer
Page 44 and 45: Urban Renaissance Programme and the
Page 46 and 47: 6 Transport capacity 6.1 Policy Con
Page 48 and 49: 6.2.6 Section 7.24 of the Broad Bas
Page 50 and 51: 6.4.2 The road network within Scarb
Page 52 and 53: approximately 500 to approximately
Page 54 and 55: 7 Infrastructure capacity (water) 7
Page 56 and 57: eplaced to meet the additional dema
Page 58 and 59: 8 Infrastructure capacity (utilitie
Page 60 and 61: Conclusion Expansion of gas usage i
Page 62 and 63: 9.3.4 The process of attaching numb
Page 64 and 65: Figure 9-1: Housing growth (linear
Page 66 and 67: 9.5.5 The baseline economic forecas
Page 68 and 69: (b) Employment needed to support Gr
Page 70 and 71: BOROUGH Level Analysis Additional D
Page 72 and 73: improvement in economic activity be
Page 74 and 75: Qualitative Indicators Dimensions C
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Scenario 3 (trend) 32,000 30,000 Dw
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Principal design characteristics Tr
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Scenario 4 (trend) 34,000 32,000 30
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Qualitative Indicators Dimensions C
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Numerical indicators Elements 2004
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Figure 9-6: Planning Designations
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Figure 9-8: The strategic picture (
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Target Areas Figure 9-10: Potential
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Key criteria Ability to rebalance t
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Key triggers and thresholds Trigger
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growth rates 2014/15 Widened A64 op
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social benefits to be exploited fro
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Doc No CBHABG000/3 Rev: 0 Date: May
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Sc. Benefits and impacts Phasing Ac
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• Managing and maximising the opp
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10.6.3 In view of this our recommen
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Appendix 1
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Ref. Title Date Format 19a A64 Road
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Appendix 2
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Key issues Key information Question
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Key issues Key information Question
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APPENDIX 3 CONSULTEES AND KEY POINT
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Nitesh Patel - Water Resources (012
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Scarborough Growth Potential Study
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APPENDIX 4 POLICY CASCADE European
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European Level National Level Regio
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Appendix 5
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Growth of Scarborough Study - Scarborough Borough Council

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