Growth of Scarborough Study - Scarborough Borough Council

with increased critical mass that will help support both public and private sector
investment.
9.5.18 These issues will require detailed investigation in order to articulate the relationship
between growth and the need for regeneration and economic renewal of Scarborough.
9.6 The core scenarios
9.6.1 The three retained scenarios are summarised in the following tables and graphs. It
should be noted that each of these are initially presented as discrete scenarios; these
are then subjected to sensitivity testing against a number of phasing determinants before
arriving at a preferred maximum path of growth.
Scenario 3: Continuation of Recent Housing Trends
Baseline; continued buoyancy in the local housing market but with greater emphasis on economic regeneration
Focus on urban renaissance and ‘easy’ brownfield development sites in the first instance, particularly housing
regeneration in inner wards and suburban social housing estates
Reliance on existing housing allocations coming forward in the medium term
Additional land may be required in the medium to long term
Economic balance will be challenging even under this scenario, with a need to double the number of jobs created
than current trends would imply
Qualitative Indicators
Dimensions Characteristics Also refer to
Scale of growth See numerical indicators below
Pace of growth 8 Moderate but steady Timeline
Locational emphasis The focus will be on the existing built-up areas and allocated development
land. This implied emphasis on brownfield land risks having a detrimental
impact on the desired annual housing completion rate, and on the timing of
growth and infrastructure in general, unless public sector intervention to
facilitate such growth.
Spatial model
The core model will be that of urban consolidation with some urban
Concept diagram
expansion to the south of the town. This will mean consolidating and
‘repairing’ the existing urban form through a sequential approach, ‘stitching’
in limited greenfield development using sustainable design methods.
Limited gains in achieving a more connected, sustainable built form.
Sectoral emphasis/
economic conditions
The emphasis would be on developing the existing employment base of
the town and increasing economic activity rates. Greater effort would be
required in marketing and promoting sites. The town’s cultural and lifestyle
offer would be particularly developed. Only limited gains in attracting
footloose inward investment such as office and conference development.
Market conditions This is largely based on current housing market conditions, but
interventions would be required in the commercial property market to bring
8 The pace of growth is very much dependent on the availability and developability of suitable development sites and the market and economic context, and
is increasingly difficult to predict in the longer term. More detailed analysis of development opportunities will be required.
Doc No CBHABG000/3 Rev: 0 Date: May 2005 67
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