Growth of Scarborough Study - Scarborough Borough Council

Qualitative Indicators
Dimensions Characteristics Also refer to
procurement for public services. Mixed use developments within urban
villages and the existing built-up area would require creative solutions for
joining up health, education and leisure facilities into more compact, multiuse
building forms. Notwithstanding, there is a risk that some services will
struggle to keep up with the momentum implied by this scenario, risking
unsustainable and unsupported communities.
Institutional and policy
options for
implementation
Achieving sustainable growth under this scenario will not be possible
without strong forms of partnership and coordination, preferably under the
responsibility of one special purpose vehicle.
Numerical indicators
Elements 2004 Cumulative
2004-2016
Population 50,51
2
Households/ 24,35
dwellings
4
Workforce 21,08
5
Employment 21,96
4
Space required
(see Concepts
diagrams)
New schools,
leisure and
health facilities
required
Cumulative
2004-2021
68,112-
72,512
32,354-
34,354
32,285-
34,371
29,212-
31,099
30,001-
31,413
27,080-
28,412
Annual
average
Total (increase)
Up to 22,000
471-588 Up to 10,000
Up to 13,286
426-537 Up to 7,248
83-205 hectares (depending on density and
scenario) required for housing (in addition to
constrained urban capacity pro-rata over the
whole period; excluding requirement for public
open space and education/ health/ community/
retail facilities); 37-39 hectares required in total
for employment.
The equivalent 15 of between 7 and 9 new primary
schools would be required, together with a new 8-
form entry secondary school (this assumes the
LEA formula of 0.25 primary children per dwelling
and 0.13 secondary persons per dwelling, and
takes account of existing surplus/deficit). In
practice some of this increase may be
accommodated through the expansion of existing
schools and will depend on the location of
development relative to the capacity of schools
within the vicinity.
15 Equivalent means that in practice additional capacity, depending on quantity and location of housing development, may be capable of
being accommodated through the expansion of existing schools rather than whole new schools that the figures would otherwise imply. It
should also be noted that the figures only account for existing (2004) capacity and do not take into account demographic forecasts in the
long term. The figures should therefore be treated as ballpark only.
Doc No CBHABG000/3 Rev: 0 Date: May 2005 77
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