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policy - The Black Vault

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THE BD,<br />

CORPORATION<br />

F<br />

aggressive military and diplomatic programs with little reference to what<br />

turned out to be important economic limitations. Defense spending at the<br />

height of the Vietnam War accounted for 9 percent of GNP, of which the war<br />

itself accounted for only 3 percent. Because of the relatively small size<br />

of this commitment it was not necessary to mobilize the economy in a manner<br />

similar to that necessary during World War II or even the Korean War.<br />

doing the opposite, though, and almcst completely disregarding the impact<br />

of the war on the domestic economy--not, for example, even instituting a<br />

significant tax to compensate for the war-relatea increase in aggregate<br />

demand until 1968-- the Johnson Administration (with an assist from<br />

Congress) added to the economic problems the US had to face in the late<br />

"1960s and the 1970s. Regardless of the war and the presence or absence of<br />

war-related economic planning, the US was going to be faced with such<br />

problems as a diminishing international economic role (in relative, if not<br />

absolute terms), the end to an era of cheap energy, and the trend towards<br />

the increased production of services relative to goods.<br />

By<br />

To these were<br />

added a legacy of inflation which plagues us today even more than at the<br />

height of the Vietnam War.<br />

Some economists even argue that we are now<br />

faced with a situation in which "the Phillips curve has shifted to the<br />

right," which is to say that the amount of unemployment associated with a<br />

given leve' of inflation has increased. This is sobering news indeed for<br />

those working towards achieving the goal of full employment (even defining<br />

full employment as, say, 3 or 4 percent actual unemployment) at zero<br />

inflation.<br />

<strong>The</strong> truth of the matter is that the economic policies made necessary<br />

by the Vietnam War were not politically viable. Either the war or the<br />

economy had to give and, given the political commitment of successive<br />

administrations "not to lose Vietnam," it was the economy that was sacrificed.<br />

In retrospect this seems shortsighted, but given the structure of<br />

the US political system it is difficult even now to see how the decision<br />

could have been otherwise.<br />

7 !And finally, the US economic experience during the Vietnam War years<br />

illustrates the relationship between the domestic and international<br />

K economy. <strong>The</strong> international monetary system established after World War II<br />

4-29<br />

-F1 80'

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