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policy - The Black Vault

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~7Zz~Tz~zE:3<br />

THE BDM CORPORATION<br />

was bound to change sooner or later, but the economic consequences of the<br />

Vietnam War certainly led to the demise of this system sooner than would<br />

otherwise have been the case.<br />

G. LESSONS<br />

Political, diplomatic, and military <strong>policy</strong> making have taken precedence<br />

over economic <strong>policy</strong> making in the US<br />

Sto<br />

system, and this was particularly<br />

true during the Vietnam war years; yet clearly economic considerations<br />

must share equal importance if political and military programs are<br />

survive over the long haul.<br />

Politically convenient budget assumptions, such as predicting the<br />

war's end at the end of a fiscal year, warps fiscal planning, particularly<br />

if fiscal planners are omitted from participation in the key decisions.<br />

Candor in presenting political, military, and economic policies is<br />

essential early in any potential crisis situation to gain support of the<br />

majority of the public and to avoid credibility gaps and srious downstream<br />

economic dangers.<br />

Short-tirm contingency commitments of military force can probably be<br />

sustained and supported by the US<br />

civil economy,<br />

economy without major disruption to the<br />

assuming that the duration of the emergency can be predicted<br />

with confidence or that the personnel and materiel commitment is limited;<br />

but,<br />

lacking confident predictions of the magnitude and duration of a<br />

military commitment,<br />

an administration should take early steps to educate<br />

the public and the Congress of the likely consequences of a prolonged and<br />

costly effort.<br />

In this context, the military leaders, notably the Joint<br />

Chiefs of Staff, must provide re3listic estimates of the situation and<br />

assure that those estimates are given attentive hearing by their civilian<br />

superiors.<br />

As a general rule, fighting a war without making adjustments in<br />

C, national economic <strong>policy</strong> will have an adverse effect on a country's<br />

Be<br />

economic well being, and public support is essential if those adjustments<br />

are to be made; to support the adjustments, the public must first support<br />

the cause and view it as important.<br />

4-30<br />

§MP K

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