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Competition in the Irish Private Health Insurance Market

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wishes to reta<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> flexibility to re-enter <strong>the</strong> <strong>Irish</strong> market should <strong>the</strong><br />

situation change.”<br />

8.15 In January, 2007, it was announced that AXA are <strong>in</strong> discussions with<br />

<strong>the</strong> Government concern<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong>ir possible entry <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> <strong>Irish</strong> market.<br />

AXA approached BUPA Ireland <strong>in</strong> order to discuss <strong>the</strong> purchase of <strong>the</strong><br />

BUPA bus<strong>in</strong>ess but BUPA decl<strong>in</strong>ed to enter <strong>in</strong>to talks with AXA. The<br />

M<strong>in</strong>ister also stated that ano<strong>the</strong>r company had contacted her and said<br />

that <strong>the</strong>y would be <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> purchas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> BUPA Ireland bus<strong>in</strong>ess.<br />

8.16 The commencement of full risk equalisation payments, <strong>the</strong> withdrawal<br />

of BUPA Ireland from <strong>the</strong> market, <strong>the</strong> entry of AXA or ano<strong>the</strong>r new<br />

entrant <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> market or <strong>the</strong> purchase by AXA or ano<strong>the</strong>r body of <strong>the</strong><br />

BUPA Ireland bus<strong>in</strong>ess could each significantly effect market dynamics<br />

and <strong>the</strong>re is a significant amount of uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty <strong>in</strong> relation to <strong>the</strong>se<br />

issues. In this chapter we will first consider <strong>the</strong> extent to which Vhi<br />

<strong>Health</strong>care may have had market power prior to <strong>the</strong> announcement by<br />

BUPA Ireland that it is commenc<strong>in</strong>g its withdrawal from <strong>the</strong> market and<br />

prior to <strong>the</strong> commencement of full risk equalisation payments. We will<br />

<strong>the</strong>n consider how recent developments may affect this situation.<br />

<strong>Market</strong> Concentration<br />

8.17 Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care had 100% of <strong>the</strong> private health <strong>in</strong>surance market up<br />

until 1997 when it was <strong>the</strong> sole provider of health <strong>in</strong>surance. S<strong>in</strong>ce <strong>the</strong><br />

market was opened to competition, two companies have entered, <strong>the</strong><br />

total market has grown and Vhi’s share of <strong>the</strong> market has fallen, and<br />

cont<strong>in</strong>ues to fall.<br />

8.18 <strong>Market</strong> shares <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> PHI market can be calculated <strong>in</strong> a number of<br />

ways:<br />

• Total membership numbers: Relative market shares based on<br />

total membership numbers are chang<strong>in</strong>g over time. Vhi<br />

<strong>Health</strong>care’s market share is fall<strong>in</strong>g but it still has a very high share<br />

of <strong>the</strong> total market (75%). BUPA Ireland has been <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> market for<br />

ten years and has gradually grown its market share to 22% over<br />

this time. VIVAS <strong>Health</strong> has approximately 3% of <strong>the</strong> market.<br />

Although Vhi’s market share is high, it is not stable. It is fall<strong>in</strong>g<br />

every year while BUPA and VIVAS’ market shares are grow<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Recently BUPA Ireland announced that it is commenc<strong>in</strong>g its<br />

withdrawal from <strong>the</strong> market. AXA has <strong>in</strong>dicated that it is <strong>in</strong>terested<br />

<strong>in</strong> purchas<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> BUPA Ireland bus<strong>in</strong>ess.<br />

• New sales: Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care attracts more new members than ei<strong>the</strong>r<br />

BUPA Ireland or VIVAS <strong>Health</strong>. The difference <strong>in</strong> market shares<br />

based on new sales is much less pronounced than <strong>in</strong> total market<br />

shares. New sales of PHI <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> twelve months to June 2005<br />

amounted to approximately 191,000 members 156 . All three <strong>in</strong>surers<br />

are successfully attract<strong>in</strong>g new members with Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care<br />

ga<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g about 115,000 (60%), BUPA Ireland about 70,000 (37%)<br />

and VIVAS <strong>Health</strong> about 6,000 (3%) 157 . S<strong>in</strong>ce 1997 when BUPA<br />

entered <strong>the</strong> market, <strong>the</strong> overall market has grown by 654,000<br />

156 New sales data are not available for 2006.<br />

157 VIVAS <strong>Health</strong> was only trad<strong>in</strong>g for eight months dur<strong>in</strong>g this period.<br />

122

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