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Competition in the Irish Private Health Insurance Market

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−<br />

The ma<strong>in</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r deterrent at present is <strong>the</strong> non-commercial<br />

status of Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care and <strong>the</strong> uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty over its future<br />

status;<br />

− If uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty over <strong>the</strong> f<strong>in</strong>al implementation of risk<br />

equalisation (that is, <strong>the</strong> establishment of precedents for <strong>the</strong><br />

calculation and actual transfer of risk equalisation payments)<br />

and over <strong>the</strong> status of Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care is resolved <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> short<br />

term, <strong>the</strong> health <strong>in</strong>surance market <strong>in</strong> Ireland should still<br />

attract some new entrants, but fewer than if risk equalisation<br />

payments are not implemented;<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

−<br />

There is no satisfactory case for <strong>the</strong> non-implementation of<br />

risk equalisation payments as long as <strong>the</strong>re is a fundamental<br />

commitment to community rat<strong>in</strong>g;<br />

Without risk equalisation payments, <strong>the</strong> benefits of new entry<br />

are limited <strong>in</strong> that lower prices and higher profits for <strong>in</strong>surers<br />

could be achieved for some but older people with health<br />

<strong>in</strong>surance, less <strong>in</strong>cl<strong>in</strong>ed to move between <strong>in</strong>surers, would lose<br />

from <strong>the</strong> absence of full risk equalisation;<br />

Losses to elderly people <strong>in</strong> higher premiums would exactly<br />

offset ga<strong>in</strong>s to younger people <strong>in</strong> lower premiums <strong>in</strong> an<br />

efficient market, without risk equalisation but with limited<br />

shift<strong>in</strong>g between <strong>in</strong>surers. Alternatively, younger consumers<br />

might ga<strong>in</strong> less and new entrant <strong>in</strong>surers ga<strong>in</strong> more <strong>in</strong> higher<br />

profits, aga<strong>in</strong> at <strong>the</strong> expense of older members of established<br />

<strong>in</strong>surance schemes;<br />

Only if premium differences encouraged wholesale movement<br />

between <strong>in</strong>surers at older stages would this be avoided. The<br />

market would achieve risk equalisation. In our view, this will<br />

<strong>in</strong> practice take a longer, ra<strong>the</strong>r than a shorter time,<br />

particularly if new entrant <strong>in</strong>surers use some of <strong>the</strong> ga<strong>in</strong>s from<br />

a lower risk membership to <strong>in</strong>crease profits ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

compete aggressively on premiums charged;<br />

We do not accept that community rat<strong>in</strong>g can be implemented<br />

by bus<strong>in</strong>ess regulation rules as we regard <strong>the</strong> recruitment of<br />

younger, lower risk members by new entrants as virtually<br />

<strong>in</strong>evitable;<br />

The potential sale of Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care, <strong>in</strong> whole or <strong>in</strong> part,<br />

represents a significant opportunity for new entrants to <strong>the</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>surance market. S<strong>in</strong>ce exist<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>surers may face limits on<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir purchase of some or all of Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care, a policy of<br />

“wait and see” on Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care is potentially lead<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

deferral of entry by some <strong>in</strong>terested <strong>in</strong> offer<strong>in</strong>g health<br />

<strong>in</strong>surance <strong>in</strong> Ireland, whe<strong>the</strong>r risk equalisation payments take<br />

place or not.<br />

4.81 It can be seen from <strong>the</strong> forego<strong>in</strong>g that <strong>the</strong> consultation process was<br />

<strong>the</strong> subject of extensive analysis over <strong>the</strong> last few years. Mr Justice<br />

William McKechnie summarised it as follows: “The consultation process<br />

engaged <strong>in</strong> by <strong>the</strong> Harvey group, by <strong>the</strong> Department of <strong>Health</strong> who<br />

66

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