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Competition in the Irish Private Health Insurance Market

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eal <strong>in</strong>comes is also highly correlated <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> medium and long term<br />

with <strong>the</strong> proportion of <strong>the</strong> labour force work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> services sector<br />

as well as <strong>the</strong> proportion work<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> professional occupation class.<br />

Statistical evidence shows that <strong>the</strong>re is a clear correlation between<br />

growth <strong>in</strong> demand for health <strong>in</strong>surance and GNP growth. 15<br />

2.32 It is recognised that, where <strong>the</strong> ma<strong>in</strong> system for hospital care is a<br />

public health system, <strong>the</strong>n access to and <strong>the</strong> quality of that public<br />

health system are determ<strong>in</strong>ants of PHI demand. There is also general<br />

agreement that “perceptions of <strong>the</strong> quality of <strong>the</strong> public system” have<br />

an <strong>in</strong>fluence on <strong>the</strong> demand for health <strong>in</strong>surance <strong>in</strong> Ireland. 16<br />

2.33 It is clear from various research works on <strong>the</strong> demand for health<br />

<strong>in</strong>surance and <strong>the</strong> results of consumer surveys commissioned by <strong>the</strong><br />

Authority that both <strong>the</strong> public healthcare system and <strong>the</strong> price of PHI<br />

are substantial determ<strong>in</strong>ants of demand for PHI <strong>in</strong> Ireland. 17<br />

2.34 In <strong>the</strong> time series for private health <strong>in</strong>surance, two dist<strong>in</strong>ct periods can<br />

be dist<strong>in</strong>guished; 1982 to 1993 and 1994 to date. In <strong>the</strong> first,<br />

economic growth was weak and population growth was non-existent or<br />

quite low. In <strong>the</strong> second period, economic growth has been ei<strong>the</strong>r<br />

strong or exceptional compared to both <strong>Irish</strong> historical and<br />

<strong>in</strong>ternational comparisons and similarly for population growth.<br />

2.35 One noticeable feature of <strong>the</strong> series is <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>in</strong> numbers <strong>in</strong>sured<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> 1980 to 1983 period and aga<strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> two year period 1988 and<br />

1989. The latter period was one of fall<strong>in</strong>g population but ris<strong>in</strong>g PHI<br />

demand. In 1987, statutory charges were <strong>in</strong>troduced for both<br />

outpatient and <strong>in</strong>patient treatment <strong>in</strong> all public hospitals, except for<br />

medical card holders. At <strong>the</strong> request of <strong>the</strong> Government, Vhi<br />

<strong>Health</strong>care <strong>in</strong>troduced a new low cost Plan to cover <strong>the</strong>se charges 18 ,<br />

which accounted for most of <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> PHI demand <strong>in</strong> 1988.<br />

2.36 The trend of demand for PHI <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> last five years is dist<strong>in</strong>ctly upwards<br />

even though <strong>the</strong> economic growth rate, although still high, has been<br />

below <strong>the</strong> rate experienced <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> late 1990s and <strong>the</strong> price trend for<br />

PHI has cont<strong>in</strong>ued to rise at three times <strong>the</strong> rate of general consumer<br />

price <strong>in</strong>flation.<br />

2.37 A possible future negative effect on <strong>the</strong> demand for PHI is <strong>the</strong> recent<br />

reduction 19 <strong>in</strong> wait<strong>in</strong>g lists for elective treatment <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> public hospital<br />

system that has been brought about by <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>troduction and operation<br />

of <strong>the</strong> National Treatment Purchase Fund. 20<br />

2.38 The current ma<strong>in</strong> trends affect<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> total cost of <strong>in</strong>surance claims<br />

appear likely to cont<strong>in</strong>ue. On <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g side, <strong>the</strong>re is <strong>the</strong> high rate<br />

15 Nolan and Wiley (2000).<br />

16 See, for <strong>in</strong>stance, Watson, D and Williams, J (2001) “Perceptions of <strong>the</strong> Quality of <strong>Health</strong> Care <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

public and private sectors <strong>in</strong> Ireland”, ESRI and <strong>the</strong> Amarach (2003) and Insight (2005) health<br />

<strong>in</strong>surance consumer surveys conducted on behalf of <strong>the</strong> Authority.<br />

17 Nolan and Wiley (2000), <strong>Health</strong> <strong>Insurance</strong> Authority consumer surveys, 2003, 2005.<br />

18 Plan P offered <strong>in</strong>surance cover for <strong>the</strong> cost of a public bed <strong>in</strong> a public hospital.<br />

19 For <strong>in</strong>stance, a survey of wait<strong>in</strong>g times <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> public and private systems shows that <strong>the</strong> difference<br />

has narrowed and <strong>in</strong> some cases has been elim<strong>in</strong>ated (Sunday Bus<strong>in</strong>ess Post 30 July 2006).<br />

20 The NTPF was established <strong>in</strong> April 2002. The NTPF was set up <strong>in</strong>itially to deal with adults wait<strong>in</strong>g a<br />

year or longer for an operation and children wait<strong>in</strong>g six months or more for an operation. Data that<br />

was released by <strong>the</strong> NTPF <strong>in</strong> June 2006 showed that wait<strong>in</strong>g times for most common procedures had<br />

been reduced for adults and children to two to five months on average.<br />

29

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