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Competition in the Irish Private Health Insurance Market

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<strong>the</strong> situation of Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care. In general, market power is more<br />

likely to exist when a firm has a persistently high market share. The<br />

key issue <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Irish</strong> PHI market is whe<strong>the</strong>r Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care is able to<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong> its prices above competitive levels.<br />

E 28.<br />

E 29.<br />

E 30.<br />

Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care does not explicitly attribute competition factors to its<br />

decision-mak<strong>in</strong>g process on prices and, <strong>in</strong>stead, it usually refers to <strong>the</strong><br />

aggregate cost of claims and <strong>the</strong> rate of medical <strong>in</strong>flation. There is<br />

evidence from <strong>the</strong> 2002 to 2004 period that when Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased prices by an unusually high amount <strong>the</strong> rate of decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> its<br />

market share accelerated and that it responded to this by apply<strong>in</strong>g<br />

relatively low price <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> subsequent two years. Although it<br />

did not acknowledge this competitive motivation at <strong>the</strong> time of <strong>the</strong><br />

price <strong>in</strong>creases. Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care itself is subject to price control by <strong>the</strong><br />

M<strong>in</strong>ister for <strong>Health</strong> and Children and Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care has not applied<br />

price <strong>in</strong>creases that have led to a trend of relatively high and ris<strong>in</strong>g<br />

profits. Nei<strong>the</strong>r is <strong>the</strong>re any evidence that Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care is a<br />

relatively <strong>in</strong>efficient organisation and utilises pric<strong>in</strong>g power to recover<br />

sufficient revenues to remunerate a relatively high cost base.<br />

Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care’s statutory situation fur<strong>the</strong>r complicates an analysis of<br />

its market power. Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care is currently limited by <strong>the</strong> VHI Acts<br />

<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> level of f<strong>in</strong>ancial surplus that it can make. Even if <strong>the</strong>re was no<br />

price control power available to <strong>the</strong> M<strong>in</strong>ister, it would not be lawful for<br />

Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care (as it is currently constituted) to attempt to maximise<br />

its f<strong>in</strong>ancial surplus.<br />

The evidence from an analysis of <strong>the</strong> market prior to <strong>the</strong><br />

commencement of risk equalisation payments, and before BUPA<br />

Ireland announced that it was commenc<strong>in</strong>g its withdrawal from <strong>the</strong><br />

market, <strong>in</strong>dicates that Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care did not have substantial market<br />

power. However, both <strong>the</strong> commencement of full risk equalisation<br />

payments (which significantly reduces <strong>the</strong> regulatory advantage held<br />

by <strong>in</strong>surers with lower risk profiles) and <strong>the</strong> withdrawal of BUPA<br />

Ireland from <strong>the</strong> market will weaken <strong>the</strong> competitive constra<strong>in</strong>ts on<br />

Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care, although this effect would be offset by any fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />

new entry <strong>in</strong>to <strong>the</strong> market.<br />

<strong>Market</strong> Structure<br />

E 31.<br />

The recommendations <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> report are <strong>in</strong>tended to <strong>in</strong>crease<br />

competition <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> PHI marketplace. Never<strong>the</strong>less, consumer choice<br />

will rema<strong>in</strong> relatively limited <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> absence of new market entrants.<br />

In view of <strong>the</strong>se market circumstances, <strong>the</strong> question arises as to<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r <strong>the</strong> radical step of splitt<strong>in</strong>g Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care <strong>in</strong>to two or more<br />

entities should be considered. This would <strong>in</strong>crease competition and<br />

consumer choice (it would not, of itself, affect <strong>the</strong> scale of risk<br />

equalisation transfers). While <strong>the</strong> precise dynamic benefits that would<br />

flow from <strong>the</strong> result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>creased competition are difficult to predict,<br />

<strong>the</strong>y are likely to be significant and wide rang<strong>in</strong>g, affect<strong>in</strong>g areas<br />

<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g pric<strong>in</strong>g and product <strong>in</strong>novation. It would also greatly<br />

reduce or elim<strong>in</strong>ate any exist<strong>in</strong>g buyer power of Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care.<br />

However, <strong>the</strong>re would be obvious difficulties, costs and risks <strong>in</strong>volved,<br />

for <strong>in</strong>stance; loss of economies of scale, ext<strong>in</strong>guish<strong>in</strong>g <strong>the</strong> brand,<br />

possible f<strong>in</strong>ancial weakness of <strong>the</strong> new companies, and regulatory and<br />

logistical issues. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, Vhi <strong>Health</strong>care’s members have chosen<br />

<strong>the</strong>ir <strong>in</strong>surer and <strong>the</strong>ir views should be considered. In this context, it<br />

15

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