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Probabilistic Performance Analysis of Fault Diagnosis Schemes

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from J k by taking column-sums. If Q † k is the pseudoinverse <strong>of</strong> Q k [46], then<br />

(J k Q † q k )(i , j ) = ∑<br />

J k (i ,l)Q † k (l, j )<br />

l=0<br />

= J k (i , j )Q † k (j, j )<br />

{ P(Di ,k ∩ H j,k ) P(H j,k ) −1 , if P(H j,k ) ≠ 0,<br />

=<br />

0, otherwise<br />

= P(D i ,k | H j,k )<br />

= C k (i , j ),<br />

for all i , j ∈ D, so C k = J k Q † k . Hence, the pair (C k,Q k ) provides an alternate means <strong>of</strong><br />

quantifying performance that is numerically equivalent to the performance matrix J k .<br />

Remark 3.13. At a high level, evaluating (C k ,Q k ) requires the same amount <strong>of</strong> effort as<br />

evaluating J k , in the sense that both formulations have the same number <strong>of</strong> independent<br />

quantities to compute. Indeed, the j th column-sum <strong>of</strong> C k is<br />

q∑<br />

q∑<br />

C k (i , j ) =<br />

i=0<br />

i=0<br />

( q )<br />

⋃<br />

P(D i ,k | H j,k ) = P D i ,k | H j,k = P(Ω | H j,k ) = 1,<br />

i=0<br />

so C k has (q + 1) 2 − (q + 1) independent entries. Also, the sum <strong>of</strong> all the elements <strong>of</strong> Q k is<br />

q∑<br />

q∑<br />

Q k (i ,i ) =<br />

i=0<br />

i=0<br />

( q )<br />

⋃<br />

P(H i ,k ) = P H i ,k = P(Ω) = 1,<br />

i=0<br />

so Q k has q independent entries. Therefore, in total, there are (q + 1) 2 − 1 quantities that<br />

must be computed to obtain C k and Q k , which is the same as the number <strong>of</strong> independent<br />

entries <strong>of</strong> J k . However, it is <strong>of</strong>ten the case that computing a single entry <strong>of</strong> J k is more<br />

straightforward.<br />

3.6.2 Bayesian Risk<br />

As in the fault detection case, we can define a loss matrix L ∈ R (q+1)×(q+1) with nonnegative<br />

entries, such that L i j reflects the subject loss <strong>of</strong> deciding d k = j when hypothesis H i ,k is<br />

true. The corresponding Bayesian risk is given by<br />

R k (Q,V ) =<br />

q∑<br />

i=0 j =0<br />

q∑<br />

q∑<br />

L i j P(D j,k ∩ H i ,k ) =<br />

i=0 j =0<br />

q∑<br />

q∑<br />

L i j J k (j,i ) =<br />

i=0 j =0<br />

Of course, a different loss matrix L k can be used at each time step.<br />

q∑<br />

L i j C k (j,i )Q k (i ,i ).<br />

42

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