ENERGY FOR A SUSTAINABLE WORLD - World Resources Institute

Figure 14. Primary Energy Consumption, Net Oil Imports, and Gross Domestic Product for
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development Countries, Relative to the
Values of These Quantities in 1973
1.4
1.3.
GDP . • *
1.2 _
•
1,1-
q
rH
II
II
ro 1
o.
.•
..j/x
^ ^«»
Primary Energy
** •«• ^ Consumption
.9.
\
^k
Oil Imports
.8 _
\
.7_
.6.
^ ^ .
.5
I I 1
1973 1975 1977 1979
1981 1983 1985
Year
Source: For Energy Data: BP Statistical Review of World Energy (London: June 1986). For Gross Domestic Product Data:
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, National Accounts of OECD Countries, vol. I (Paris: 1985).
demand scenarios, global energy use would
nearly double between 1980 and 2020; in their
high-demand scenarios, it would increase 2.5
to nearly 3 times. For comparison, global
energy use would be only 11.2 TW in 2020 according
to our scenario, up only slightly from
10.3 TW in 1980. (See Figure 9.)
The IIASA and WEC scenarios involve no
reduction in the great regional disparities in
present energy use. In 2020, per capita energy
use in industrialized countries would, according
to both, be at least six times that in developing
countries, just as it is today. Putting
aside for the moment any consideration of the
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