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ENERGY FOR A SUSTAINABLE WORLD - World Resources Institute

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energy performance targets. Such targets help<br />

protect—among others—those energy users<br />

who are stuck with energy-using equipment<br />

purchased by builders or landlords. They also<br />

give manufacturers signals, clearer and steadier<br />

than those of fluctuating prices, that energy efficiency<br />

matters to both consumers and society<br />

as a whole.<br />

In some cases, such targets offer major social<br />

benefits that market forces alone cannot bring<br />

about. For example, compare the private and<br />

the social benefits of improving automotive fuel<br />

Consumers would not be any better or<br />

worse off with cars of higher fuel<br />

economy, but society would be much<br />

better off.<br />

economy. With today's technology, the fuel<br />

economy of automobiles could be improved<br />

from the current global average of 18 mpg (13<br />

liters per 100 kilometers) to 80 mpg (3 lhk) or<br />

better. (See Chapter IV.) Although the total cost<br />

per mile or kilometer of owning and operating<br />

a car declines rapidly with improved fuel<br />

economy up to about 30 mpg (8 lhk), it remains<br />

roughly constant at higher fuel economies.<br />

(See Figure 26.) The consumer has no incentive<br />

to seek fuel economies better than<br />

about 30 mpg (8 lhk) because savings owing to<br />

reduced fuel requirements are just about offset<br />

by the higher first costs for fuel economy improvements<br />

and because at high fuel economy<br />

levels, fuel accounts for such a small fraction of<br />

the total cost of owning and operating a car. In<br />

other words, consumers would not be any<br />

worse off with cars of higher fuel economy,<br />

but they wouldn't be any better off either.<br />

In contrast, society would be much better off<br />

if consumers had more efficient cars. If oil imports<br />

were lower, the world oil price would<br />

probably be lower too. In addition, the world<br />

would likely be more secure, with a smaller<br />

likelihood of conflict over access to Middle East<br />

oil. The prospect of generating such enormous<br />

social benefits without burdening the consumer<br />

provides a powerful rationale for public sector<br />

intervention to promote high fuel economy in<br />

cars.<br />

Various policy instruments could be used to<br />

bring about market shifts to high-efficiency<br />

products. Energy performance might be regulated<br />

to promote high automotive fuel economy<br />

or high-efficiency appliances. Taxes might accomplish<br />

much of the same goal; for example,<br />

devices performing worse than the average for<br />

new devices of their kind might be taxed at the<br />

time of purchase, with the penalty increasing<br />

in proportion to expected extra life-cycle energy<br />

requirements. Utilities might be required to<br />

offer rebates to customers who buy household<br />

appliances that are more efficient than the<br />

average for new appliances, with the rebates<br />

increasing proportionally with the expected<br />

energy savings. To the extent that such rebates<br />

allow a utility to defer investments in more<br />

costly new energy supplies, the consumer, the<br />

utility, and all the utility's rate-payers would<br />

benefit. A growing number of U.S. utilities<br />

offer such rebates for certain appliances.<br />

Stabilizing Consumer Oil Prices. The market<br />

cannot be relied on for regulating the world oil<br />

price. The world oil market has been characterized<br />

by wildly fluctuating prices with alternating<br />

periods of shortage and glut. (See Figure<br />

1.) The onset of a glut following each price<br />

shock gives investors the misleading impression<br />

that the oil crisis is over and encourages<br />

increased oil consumption, setting the stage for<br />

still another shock. Moreover, the periods of<br />

oversupply, as we have seen in the mid-1980s,<br />

diminish the sense of urgency needed to induce<br />

oil importers to reduce their long-run<br />

vulnerability to supply disruptions. In general,<br />

uncertainties about future oil prices discourage<br />

investments in energy efficiency.<br />

93

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