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WATER & SOIL - These are not the droids you are looking for.

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Êv2<br />

( ko)<br />

Reduced Voriote y<br />

I'O<br />

t1<br />

50 too<br />

ttl<br />

5to20<br />

, Return Period, yeors<br />

Figure 3.3 Differentiation of <strong>the</strong> three types of extreme value d¡stribution.<br />

I<br />

200<br />

Table 3.1 The relationship between y and T values <strong>for</strong> <strong>the</strong> EVI<br />

distribution.<br />

Equations similar to 3.15 and 3.16, but this time relating<br />

y and <strong>the</strong> probability of exceedence, may be obtained by<br />

substituting P(X > x), as given in Equation 3.5, into <strong>the</strong> two<br />

equations. This results in<br />

1.O1<br />

2.OO<br />

2.33<br />

5<br />

10<br />

20<br />

30<br />

50<br />

100<br />

200<br />

500<br />

1000<br />

- 1.53<br />

0.37<br />

o.58<br />

1.50<br />

2.25<br />

2.97<br />

3.38<br />

3.90<br />

4.60<br />

5.29<br />

6.21<br />

6.91<br />

-2.O<br />

- 1.5<br />

- 1.O<br />

-0.5<br />

o<br />

o.5<br />

1.O<br />

1.5<br />

2.O<br />

2.5<br />

3.0<br />

3.5<br />

4.O<br />

4.5<br />

5.0<br />

5.5<br />

6.0<br />

6.5<br />

7.O<br />

1.OO<br />

1.01<br />

1.O7<br />

1.24<br />

1.58<br />

2.20<br />

3.25<br />

5.OO<br />

7.90<br />

12.69<br />

20.59<br />

33.62<br />

55.1 0<br />

90.52<br />

148.9<br />

245.2<br />

403.9<br />

665.6<br />

1 097<br />

and<br />

P(X>x) = I -6-e-I<br />

y = -fn(- fn(l-P(x>x))) .....3.18<br />

3. I .4 Sampling properties<br />

317<br />

The data sample, from which a flood frequency analysis<br />

infers a design flood magnitude, must possess <strong>the</strong> following<br />

properties if <strong>the</strong> analysis is to make <strong>the</strong> proper inferences<br />

about <strong>the</strong> population's distribution.<br />

Sufftcient Length The data sample should be sufficiently<br />

long, i.e., it should contain a large number of items. Often<br />

l0 annual flood peak items <strong>are</strong> considered sufficient (Neill<br />

1973; Beard 1977), though even <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> sample is of limited<br />

use in design (Linsley et al, 1975) unless supplemented<br />

with additiongl hydrological in<strong>for</strong>mation, €.g., a correlation<br />

with a longer streamflow record from a nearby station.<br />

t6<br />

Water & soil technical publication no. 20 (1982)

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