Petra Friederichs - Chair of Statistics STAT

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Mesoscale Weather Prediction Statistical Postprocessing Applications Conclusions and Challenges Ensemble Postprocessing – Precipitation Case study – 3rd July 2009 Spatial Modelling – Wind Gusts ∼400 (139) weather stations ◮ 6-hourly wind maxima in 1m/s ◮ from April 2003 to May 2011 COSMO-DE forecasts ◮ 10m wind velocity, 6 hour mean ◮ surface maximum wind velocity ◮ January 2010 to April 2010 (available until now) Forecasts and observations 28 Feb 2010 P.<strong>Friederichs</strong> Extreme weather 30 / 45
Mesoscale Weather Prediction Statistical Postprocessing Applications Conclusions and Challenges Ensemble Postprocessing – Precipitation Case study – 3rd July 2009 Spatial Modelling – Wind Gusts Max-stabile Prozesse A stochastic process {Y (r), r ∈ Z} is called max-stable, if its scaled maxima follow the same distrinution. P.<strong>Friederichs</strong> Extreme weather 31 / 45
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Petra Friederichs - Chair of Statistics STAT

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