Petra Friederichs - Chair of Statistics STAT
Petra Friederichs - Chair of Statistics STAT
Petra Friederichs - Chair of Statistics STAT
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Mesoscale Weather Prediction<br />
Statistical Postprocessing<br />
Applications<br />
Conclusions and Challenges<br />
Ensemble Postprocessing – Precipitation<br />
Case study – 3rd July 2009<br />
Spatial Modelling – Wind Gusts<br />
Construction <strong>of</strong> max-stable process – Smith (1990)<br />
( ∫<br />
)<br />
Prob(Y i ≤ y i , ∀i ∈ N) = exp − {y −1 f (r, R i )}dr<br />
R d max<br />
i∈N<br />
where f (r, R i ) = f 0 (r − R i ), f 0 is a multivariate normal distribution<br />
i<br />
P.<strong>Friederichs</strong> Extreme weather 32 / 45