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Petra Friederichs - Chair of Statistics STAT

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Mesoscale Weather Prediction<br />

Statistical Postprocessing<br />

Applications<br />

Conclusions and Challenges<br />

Ensemble Postprocessing – Precipitation<br />

Case study – 3rd July 2009<br />

Spatial Modelling – Wind Gusts<br />

Extremal coefficient<br />

1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0<br />

DWDeast<br />

F−Madogram<br />

Smith<br />

Schlather<br />

Whittle−Matern<br />

Powered Exponential<br />

Cauchy<br />

Brown−Resnick<br />

0 50 100 150 200 250 300<br />

Distance in km<br />

P.<strong>Friederichs</strong> Extreme weather 40 / 45

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